All Content from Business Insider 07月21日 20:09
Warren Buffett's successor has big shoes to fill. This is what Berkshire Hathaway gurus expect from the new boss, Greg Abel.
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伯克希尔哈撒韦公司即将迎来新的掌舵人——格雷格·艾贝尔,他将接替沃伦·巴菲特执掌这家价值万亿美元的巨头。多位伯克希尔的资深人士预测,在艾贝尔的领导下,公司将采取更积极、更深入的管理风格,更加关注交易机会,甚至可能效仿其他企业发放股息。尽管巴菲特卸任的消息公布后,公司股价有所波动,但专家普遍看好艾贝尔的能力,认为他将凭借其“运营商”的特质,带领伯克希尔在资本配置之外,进一步加强对子公司的管理和业务拓展,延续其辉煌。

🌟 **管理风格转变:** 艾贝尔被视为一位“运营商”,预计将采取比巴菲特更为亲力亲为的管理方式,更直接地介入表现不佳的子公司,推动“智能自主”的发展模式,而非巴菲特式的“放手不管”。

🤝 **聚焦交易与收购:** 多位专家预测,艾贝尔的优势在于收购整家公司,他将更积极地寻求交易机会,利用伯克希尔庞大的现金储备进行战略性收购,这有望成为公司未来的增长引擎。

💰 **可能发放股息:** 鉴于伯克希尔巨大的现金余额和强劲的自由现金流,有分析师认为艾贝尔可能会引入股息政策,以吸引新类别的投资者,并可能提振股价表现。

💼 **高管团队支持:** 艾贝尔将获得保险业务负责人吉姆·詹、投资经理托德·科姆斯和泰德·韦斯勒等核心高管的支持,他们在各自领域拥有卓越的表现,将为新CEO的领导提供坚实保障。

📈 **市场反应与前景:** 巴菲特卸任消息公布后,伯克希尔股价出现下跌,但专家普遍对艾贝尔的能力持正面态度,认为尽管巴菲特难以取代,但伯克希尔在艾贝尔的领导下仍将处于“绝佳状态”。

Greg Abel, the incoming CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, will succeed Warren Buffett, who has led the company for 60 years.

Greg Abel has a big task ahead of him — and the stock market knows it.

The head of Berkshire Hathaway's non-insurance operations will be taking over from a titan of American business when he succeeds Warren Buffett as CEO.

Buffett, a legendary investor and philanthropist, has transformed Berkshire from a failing textile mill into a $1 trillion conglomerate during his 60 years in charge. He's widely regarded as a master delegator, talent spotter, capital allocator, and dealmaker who acquired scores of businesses.

Berkshire shares were up 19% year-to-date before Buffett's shock announcement in early May. They've since slumped 12%, while the benchmark S&P 500 has jumped 11%. The company did not respond to a request for comment from Business Insider.

Despite the stock's struggles, the five Berkshire Hathaway gurus Business Insider spoke to are mostly positive about Abel's prospects.

A change in management style

Greg Abel is the head of Berkshire's non-insurance operations.

Larry Cunningham, the author of several books about Buffett and the director of the University of Delaware's Weinberg Center, predicted a change in management style.

"Greg Abel is an operator at heart — he'll engage more directly with underperforming subsidiaries, unlike Buffett, who was famously hands-off," Cunningham said. "Berkshire will become known for 'intelligent autonomy.'"

Steven Check, the head of Check Capital Management and a longtime Berkshire shareholder, anticipated a similar shift. Berkshire "may actually be managed better" by Abel as he's "more of a hands-on people manager than Buffett, whose number one interest was capital allocation," he said.

Check also nodded to Charlie Munger's 2014 shareholder letter, in which Buffett's late business partner hailed Abel and Ajit Jain, the boss of Berkshire's insurance operations, as "world-leading," and said that "in some important ways, each is a better business executive than Buffett."

Berkshire Hathaway's stock has fallen since Warren Buffett announced he was stepping down.

Bill Smead, the founder of Smead Capital Management and a Berkshire investor for more than 30 years, championed Abel as a skilled business acquirer. He said Berkshire's "strength will probably be in buying whole companies because that will be Greg Abel's strength."

Berkshire has acquired many companies during Buffett's tenure, including National Indemnity in 1967, See's Candies in 1972, Nebraska Furniture Mart in 1983, Geico in 1996, BNSF Railway in 2010, Precision Castparts in 2016, Alleghany in 2022, and Pilot Travel Centers over a series of transactions in 2017, 2023, and 2024.

Berkshire Hathaway generated $371 billion in revenue and $47 billion in operating profits last year. It's become so big that there are very few companies it could acquire that would materially boost its bottom line.

Buffett's biggest acquisition to date was buying Precision for more than $32 billion nearly a decade ago. He said at this year's meeting that he would happily shell out $100 billion for the right target.

Abel is set to receive support from Jain along with Berkshire's investment managers, Todd Combs and Ted Weschler, who each manage chunks of Berkshire's roughly $300 billion stock portfolio. The company's biggest holdings include American Express, Apple, Bank of America, Coca-Cola, and Chevron.

Smead said Berkshire's "biggest mistake" was not publicly touting Combs and Weschler's track records as investors more often, as this could have reassured shareholders about the post-Buffett era and tempered the recent stock decline, he added.

John Longo — a finance professor, investment chief, and author of "Buffett's Tips" — echoed Smead in predicting Abel would be more active in striking deals.

Longo said he "would not be shocked" to see Berkshire begin paying a small dividend given its "enormous cash balance and strong free cash flow." That could help "attract a new class of investors" and fuel a stock rally, Longo added.

Brett Gardner, an analyst and the author of "Buffett's Early Investments," said that Buffett plans to remain chairman and can "help if needed." He also praised the company's core assets and board, and described Abel as "immensely talented."

He said Buffett was "irreplaceable" but added that, with Abel, "Berkshire is still in superb hands."

Read the original article on Business Insider

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