Mashable 4小时前
What to buy before tariffs take effect: Experts say laptops, smartphones, and even Christmas lights could soon cost more
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美国总统近期频繁威胁对欧盟、墨西哥、加拿大及东南亚多国加征关税,引发了广泛的经济不确定性。专家预测,包括笔记本电脑、智能手机、游戏机、电动汽车、智能家居设备、家电、无人机、木质家具、汽车零部件、服装配饰乃至圣诞灯饰等多种消费品,在未来几个月内都可能面临价格上涨。尽管关税的最终税率和持续时间尚不明朗,但部分科技产品可能在短期内出现约20%的价格增长。消费者应考虑尽早购买,以规避潜在的成本增加。

📈 **关税政策的动态性与不确定性**:美国总统的关税政策变动频繁,增加了市场的不确定性。专家指出,许多关税威胁可能不会完全实施,或者其实施时间和持续时间都极具变数,这使得消费者和企业难以准确预测未来成本。

📱 **科技产品价格上涨风险高**:特别是来自中国和东南亚的科技产品,如智能手机、笔记本电脑、平板电脑和PC显示器等,由于其供应链的复杂性,最有可能受到关税的影响。有专家预测,这些产品在短期内可能面临高达20%的价格上涨。

🚗 **汽车及零部件易受冲击**:由于汽车制造涉及全球多个国家和地区的零部件,如在加拿大和墨西哥生产的汽车,将特别容易受到关税波动的影响。这意味着消费者在购买新车时,可能会面临更高的价格。

💡 **消费品广泛受波及**:除了科技产品和汽车,无人机、木质家具、汽车零部件、服装配饰、圣诞灯饰以及视频游戏和游戏机等产品,也都明确被专家点名可能因关税而涨价。例如,微软和任天堂已因关税提高部分产品价格,并计划在节假日期间进一步上调。

⏳ **消费者应考虑提前购买**:鉴于关税可能导致的多类消费品价格上涨,专家建议消费者,特别是对科技产品有购买需求的消费者,考虑在短期内完成购买,以避免未来因美元购买力下降而支付更高的价格。

Ah, tariffs. President Donald Trump’s signature economic policy has been on, off, on again, off again, possibly AI-generated, weirdly specific, overly broad, and on and off again. Honestly, it's been hard to track tariff rates ever since the president began his second term several years ago. (Or, at least, it feels like years.)

While the president’s tariffs have had wide-ranging effects, perhaps the most constant consequence has been a sense of uncertainty. With the president once again threatening new tariff rates on the European Union, Mexico, Canada, and many countries in Southeast Asia, consumers are bracing for impact.

You may welcome these tariffs as a necessary remedy to global trade imbalances. You may see them as a disastrous constitutional overreach. Or maybe you don’t know what to think. It’s not my place to tell you.

What I can tell you: If you need to make a big purchase — laptops, smartphones, gaming consoles, electric cars, smart home gadgets, or home appliances — we may see price increases in the months ahead. 

Where could we see price increases? Here's what the experts say.

Dr. Tinglong Dai, a professor with the Johns Hopkins University Carey Business School, told Mashable that the tariff situation is extremely “dynamic.”

“A lot of tariffs we are talking about are really threats. When they actually materialize, or if they actually do, how long they are going to sustain could be super, super dynamic,” Dai said. He added, “I think if history was any indicator, you know, we have this TACO thing, right? So [the] 'Trump Always Chickens Out' thing we repeat. I think that [there's a] high chance the cycle will repeat.”

In addition to the products mentioned above, the experts we spoke to specifically warned about potential price increases on drones, wooden furniture, car parts, clothing and accessories, and even Christmas lights. However, Dai also said that potential price increases won’t be as high as the tariffs themselves, at least, not in the short term. “Even when you look at a 50-percent tariff rate, it would not have translated to a 50-percent increase in prices. Most likely, you're looking at 5 percent or 10 percent. It's unlikely to be 50 percent,” Dai said.

Worryingly, Professor Brett House with the Columbia Business School warned that consumer tech products could see average price increases of 20 percent in the short term. He added that large companies will be less vulnerable to supply chain issues, but that no tech business will be immune.

“Large tech companies have some capacity to reorganize their global production chains to dampen the impact of U.S. import taxes on their goods, but they can't avoid them entirely. As a result, the prices Americans face for these products are set to increase,” House said.

Finally, Rick Kowalski, Senior Director of Business Intelligence at the Consumer Technology Association, had a blunt warning for shoppers. He said that new tariffs on semiconductors “really could hit things like smartphones, laptops, tablets, PC monitors — which are big-ticket items.” He concluded, “Given this information, I'd say consumers may want to consider purchasing sooner than later. In a few months, your dollar may not buy you as much tech as it once did.”

The product categories to watch if you're worried about tariffs

As before, tech products manufactured in China and Southeast Asia could be hardest hit. Unfortunately, that includes countless products. And in the last wave of tariffs, we reported on tariff-related price increases at Nintendo, Microsoft, and Walmart, and on specific products like Asus laptops, Anker chargers, and Xbox games.

Smartphones

While the newest foldable Samsung phones released in July didn't see big increases, that may not be the case for the yet-to-be-released Galaxy S26 series of phones. Trump has threatened tariffs on smartphones in particular. This product category was a big focus of his even before the announcement of Trump Mobile.

Home security products

You may remember when the smart home brand Wyze revealed a massive $255,000 tariff bill on a single shipment from China valued at $167,000.

Drones

One of the experts we talked to specifically mentioned drones as a consumer tech gadget that will be vulnerable to tariffs. Most of these flying machines are made overseas, and popular drone companies like DJI are based in China. Many popular DJI drones are already sold out, low in stock, or only available via third-party storefronts at retailers like Amazon.

Christmas lights

A new car

A lot of cars are manufactured (in part) in Canada and Mexico, which Trump has threatened with a new wave of tariffs. Because cars contain so many components manufactured all over the world, they're particularly vulnerable to tariffs and supply chain disruptions.

Video games and consoles

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Already, Microsoft has raised prices on its Xbox consoles, with tariffs as one cause. The company also plans to raise prices on its video games for the holidays, so this is one product category where we can safely say prices will go up. Nintendo has also reported tariff-related problems, so if you can find a Switch 2 in stock, don't delay.

Noise-cancelling headphones

Anker has previously raised prices because of tariffs, and this Chinese company is likely to be affected by any additional tariffs. Many other popular headphones are also manufactured in Southeast Asia, and new headphones like the Sony XM6 landed with higher prices than the previous generation. Basically, if you're waiting for Christmas to buy new noise-cancelling headphones, you could regret it.


Mashable Senior Shopping Reporter Haley Henschel contributed additional reporting to this article.

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关税 价格上涨 消费品 科技产品 经济不确定性
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