Fortune | FORTUNE 07月19日 04:17
Opinion | It’s time to invoke the U.S. Defense Production Act to support a new battery technology revolution
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全球国防正经历一场由自主、无人、AI和电池驱动的无人机系统引发的革命。然而,美国及其盟友在该领域面临一个关键的脆弱性:几乎所有自主系统都依赖中国供应链的电池。从钴、镍到石墨,中国控制着关键材料的开采、加工和制造,尤其是在石墨方面,其全球市场份额超过95%。尽管美国和欧盟正投资电池制造,但中国通过限制出口、倾销和停止供应等手段巩固其市场垄断地位。美国国会已认识到这一风险,并计划禁止采购含中国材料的电池。文章提出,美国应跳过锂离子技术,加速发展下一代电池技术,如锂硫电池,该技术使用美国本土可获取的材料,且能量密度更高,重量更轻,能显著提升无人机的续航和载荷能力。文章呼吁通过《国防生产法》加速美国本土电池技术的商业化和规模化生产,以确保国家安全和国防优势。

🔋 国防革命的基石:自主无人系统依赖电池技术,美国正大力推动无人机技术发展,包括五角大楼的“Replicator Initiative”等项目,旨在快速部署大量自主系统,标志着国防重心从石油转向电池和AI技术。

🇨🇳 中国电池供应链的垄断:美国及其盟友在无人机等自主系统中使用的电池,高度依赖中国控制的供应链,涉及钴、镍、锰、石墨等关键矿产的开采、加工和制造。中国在石墨等材料上拥有超过95%的全球市场份额,并利用产业政策和市场手段巩固其垄断地位,对美国国防安全构成潜在威胁。

🇺🇸 美国面临的挑战与对策:美国认识到电池供应链的脆弱性,并计划在2027年禁止国防部采购含中国材料的电池。然而,当前本土供应链建设投资不足。文章建议,美国不应试图复制中国的锂离子电池发展模式,而应跳过现有技术,优先发展下一代电池技术,例如锂硫电池。

⚡️ 锂硫电池的优势与前景:锂硫电池是美国本土电池技术的重要替代方案,其材料(如石油和天然气副产品)在美国本土易于获取,无需依赖中国的关键矿产和加工。此外,锂硫电池能量密度更高,可使电池重量减轻30-50%,显著提升无人机的飞行距离和载荷能力。美国公司Lyten已开始商业化生产锂硫电池,并获得市场积极反馈。

🚀 投资本土化电池生产:文章呼吁美国政府利用《国防生产法》的授权,紧急投资并加速本土下一代电池技术的规模化生产,以应对当前的电池危机,并确立美国在全球电池技术和无人机革命中的领导地位。

A global defense revolution is underway based on swarms of autonomous, unmanned, AI- and battery-powered drone systems. Last month President Donald Trump signed the “Unleashing American Drone Dominance” executive order, and on July 10, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth began to operationalize efforts to bolster domestic drone technology and manufacturing.

Unfortunately for the U.S. and the West, this entire revolution rests on a single point of failure: Nearly every autonomous system being deployed today is powered by batteries dependent on Chinese-controlled supply chains. If America cannot source and manufacture the batteries that power its drones and autonomous systems, its defense superiority is at risk.

The Ukraine conflict provides a real-time demonstration of warfare’s new reality. Ukrainian forces have used small, inexpensive drones to destroy Russian strategic bombers worth tens of millions of dollars. Ukraine has become an innovation lab for developing and producing Western drones, yet nearly all of them are powered by batteries dependent on China.

The Pentagon has gotten the memo. The Army is undergoing its largest restructuring since the Cold War, equipping each of its active-duty divisions with many thousands—and potentially millions, eventually—of drones. The Defense Department’s Replicator Initiative aims to rapidly field thousands of autonomous systems before the end of this year. Programs like the Defense Innovation Unit’s Project G.I. are fast-tracking the next generation of drone technology.

This change brings a stark reality. For the last 100-plus years, access to oil to power tanks, jets, ships, and supply chain lines has determined the outcome of wars. But in a world of unmanned autonomous systems, access to batteries and AI systems is the new competitive advantage. Unfortunately, with batteries, we are behind.

China’s battery monopoly

The legacy lithium-ion battery technology that dominates the market for drones and other defense applications requires cobalt, nickel, manganese, and graphite—materials that flow through supply chains controlled by Beijing, from mining to metals processing to battery manufacturing. In the case of graphite, a material found in nearly every battery today, China controls processing of greater than 95% of the global battery-grade market. This is not the result of free market competition. This is the result of decades of Chinese industrial policy and subsidies to build its global leadership in batteries.

Despite recent investments in the U.S. and EU to build battery manufacturing, China’s consolidation of the market continues to grow every year. Why? Because China has a monopoly on the supply chain and technology feeding these battery plants. Beijing has restricted exports of critical battery materials, flooded global markets to undercut competitors, and in some cases stopped supplying batteries to particular U.S. drone companies. In other words, China is wielding its monopoly control of the market. 

Congress recognized this vulnerability when it passed the 2024 National Defense Authorization Act, which prohibits the Defense Department from procuring batteries containing Chinese-sourced materials beginning in October 2027. What was a potential vulnerability is now the current reality in 2025, and the U.S. collectively has not been investing fast enough or strategically enough to solidify a domestic battery supply chain.

The solution is U.S. next-generation batteries

Let’s face it. After nearly 30 years of industrial policy, China has won the battle for lithium-ion dominance. Replicating its strategy just plays into the hands of the monopoly leader at the cost of massively wasted resources. The better path is to leapfrog the lithium-ion technology altogether by accelerating the phase-in of next-generation battery technologies that depend on local supply chains.

Lithium-sulfur batteries represent one of the most promising—and immediately available—alternatives. Unlike conventional lithium-ion technology, lithium-sulfur batteries don’t require Chinese-controlled minerals and processes, such as nickel, cobalt, manganese, and graphite. Instead, lithium-sulfur is built from materials readily available in the U.S. as byproducts of the existing, massively scaled oil and gas industry.

Additionally, lithium-sulfur is a leap forward in energy density, which means a 30-50% lighter weight battery. In drone applications, every gram matters. A U.S.-sourced, U.S.-manufactured lithium-sulfur battery that flies further and carries more payload, paired with American innovation, is how America can lead the drone revolution.

Several U.S. companies have been racing to commercialize lithium-sulfur technology. Lyten is one of them. We began commercial drone battery production in the second quarter, sourced and manufactured in the U.S., with energy density superior to lithium-ion batteries. The pipeline of interested customers is growing daily across aerospace, defense, supply chain, and industrial sectors—clear evidence of pent-up demand for alternatives to today’s lithium-ion technology.

It’s time to invest through the Defense Production Act

Now is the time to move with urgency. The U.S. has a superior alternative to lithium-ion technology available today, utilizing a massively scalable, local supply chain, and the manufacturing infrastructure in place to rapidly scale with the right strategic investments. The Defense Production Act grants the federal government authority to accelerate domestic production of critical technologies for national security purposes. President Trump previously used the DPA to boost domestic production of medical supplies during the pandemic. The current battery crisis demands similar urgency.

Starting with drones, it’s time for America to make a statement globally and execute a U.S.-led battery revolution.

The opinions expressed in Fortune.com commentary pieces are solely the views of their authors and do not necessarily reflect the opinions and beliefs of Fortune.

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无人机革命 电池技术 中国供应链 国家安全 锂硫电池
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