Fortune | FORTUNE 07月19日 01:23
Gen X’s $1.4 trillion windfall: The ‘Forgotten Generation’ is the surprise short-term winner in the Great Wealth Transfer
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文章探讨了X世代(1965-1980年出生)在美国经济中的地位转变。尽管他们曾因经济危机和市场增长停滞而面临财务困境,但即将到来的“大财富转移”将使他们成为短期内最大的受益者,预计将继承大量遗产,从而获得前所未有的财务安全和影响力。然而,财富分配将不均,部分X世代将获得巨额财富,而另一些则可能收获甚微。长远来看,千禧一代将继承更多财富。这一财富转移预计将重塑美国经济格局,提升X世代的购买力,并可能加剧代际间的不平等,其最终影响将取决于X世代如何规划和利用这笔财富。

💰 X世代的财务挑战与机遇:X世代在经济上曾受到婴儿潮一代和千禧一代的挤压,并在金融危机中遭受了净资产的重大损失,导致对未来退休缺乏安全感。然而,他们正站在美国历史上最大规模的短期财富转移的前沿,即将继承巨额遗产,有望实现财务安全和影响力。

🌊 “大财富转移”的背景与规模:这一现象指的是婴儿潮一代(历史上最大规模的在世一代)因年老而将财富转移给后代。预计未来20-25年内,全球将有超过83万亿美元的财富易手,其中美国将占29万亿美元以上。这一趋势的起源可追溯到上世纪末,并已成为金融界关注的焦点。

⏳ 代际间的财富流向:X世代因年龄和作为主要受益人的身份,将成为短期内最大的财富接收者。但从长远来看,千禧一代预计将继承更多财富,未来25年内将累计获得约45.6万亿美元,而X世代将获得约39万亿美元。

⚖️ 财富分配的不均性:专家警告称,财富的转移将是不均衡的。由于财富高度集中在极少数富裕人群手中,部分X世代将获得足以改变人生的巨额财富,而另一些人则可能因高昂的医疗费用和资产分配不均而收获甚少。

📈 X世代经济的崛起与潜在风险:随着财富的涌入,X世代的购买力预计将大幅增长,并将在未来十年内引领美国市场和塑造消费趋势。然而,这种大规模的财富转移也可能加剧代际间的不平等,除非有周密的规划和金融知识的普及来支持。

For decades, Gen Xers, born between 1965 and 1980, have seen their economic story overshadowed by the spending power of baby boomers and the tech-driven optimism surrounding millennials. And Gen X could be seen as unluck, says Chayce Horton, senior analyst with Cerulli: ““Gen X households have faced much more financial and career upheaval early in their financial journeys than had been expected,” he says, pointing out that no generation lost a greater percentage of its net worth in the Great Financial Crisis between 2007 and 2010 than Gen X households, seeing a 38% decline in net worth, from $63,000 to $39,000. “With stunted market growth from 2000–2010, many Gen X households lack a sense of comfort with their future retirement,” Horton says.

Now, this “sandwich generation,” balancing the demands of dependent children and aging parents, is preparing to receive the largest immediate inheritance in U.S. history, setting them up for newfound financial security, influence, and responsibility. Still, while Gen X will receive the greatest short-term windfall, millennials stand to inherit more overall in the longer term, with roughly $39 trillion flowing to Gen X and $45.6 trillion flowing to the younger cohort over the next 25 years cumulatively.

What is the Great Wealth Transfer?

As covered extensively in the pages of Fortune, the “great wealth transfer” refers to the coming flood of wealth due to be inherited from the aging of the baby boomers, who were at their peak the largest living generation in the history of the world (millennials hold the title as of 2020, while Gen Z overtook boomers’ numbers in the workforce as of 2023).

The term’s origin is difficult to pinpoint, as several financial advisors began to see this tidal wave coming from far off starting in the late 1990s and early 2000s, from which it spread to economics and then the financial media. The boomers are also, as Fortune has reported, the wealthiest generation ever, with a lot of wealth due to be transferred.

UBS Global Wealth Management

UBS Global Wealth Management’s annual wealth report keeps tabs on the transfer and forecast that as of 2024, more than $83 trillion will change hands within the next 20 to 25 years. The U.S. will experience the largest transfer of them all, over $29 trillion.

The Great Wealth Transfer, over time.

UBS Global Wealth Management

Cerulli sees Gen X as the primary short-term beneficiary mainly because of demographic timing. Simply put, at roughly 45 to 60 years old, they’re next in line and typically named as primary beneficiaries in boomers’ wills. Experts warn that the distribution of inheritances will be uneven. Wealth concentration among the ultra-rich means some Gen Xers will receive life-changing sums, while others may see little or nothing due to soaring healthcare costs and uneven asset distribution.

Wealth, society, and the ‘Gen X economy’

Industry experts believe the influx will ripple across broader economic life. With their buying power projected to soar from $15.2 trillion to $23 trillion by 2035, Gen X is set to drive U.S. markets and shape consumer trends for the next decade.

Some analysts warn that as the largest wealth shift in history unfolds, it could exacerbate inequality both within and among generations unless supported by deliberate planning and financial literacy initiatives.

For Gen X, the next 10 years will be transformative. Once overshadowed by boomers and millennials, this “forgotten generation” is on the cusp of the largest short-term wealth influx America has ever seen. Whether this inheritance wave becomes a springboard to prosperity or a source of new challenges will depend on how the generation redefines its financial legacy.

For this story, Fortune used generative AI to help with an initial draft. An editor verified the accuracy of the information before publishing. 

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X世代 大财富转移 代际财富 经济影响力 财务规划
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