Fortune | FORTUNE 07月18日 19:29
Opinion | It’s time to open the 401(k) to private markets
index_new5.html
../../../zaker_core/zaker_tpl_static/wap/tpl_guoji1.html

 

美国价值12.4万亿美元的界定缴款(DC)退休储蓄体系,以401(k)计划为核心,几乎占全球退休金融资产的一半。尽管在自动注册、自动缴款升级、目标日期基金和管理账户等方面不断创新,但美国DC投资仍局限于公开交易的股票和债券,未能抓住房地产、私募股权、信贷和基础设施等私有市场投资机遇。这些资产已成为全球主要界定收益(DB)养老金、捐赠基金和主权财富基金的核心配置。在当前高利率和市场波动环境下,多元化投资至关重要。加拿大、澳大利亚、英国等国家的退休基金已长期投资于私有市场,以获取高风险调整后回报、分散风险和降低与公开股票市场的相关性。私有市场投资能提供流动性溢价,对于拥有数十年储蓄期限的401(k)参与者而言,短期流动性并非主要障碍。随着美国上市公司数量减少和市场集中度提高,私有市场已成为许多创新型企业的成长沃土。通过引入如基金之基金、间隔基金等创新金融工具,可以克服流动性等挑战,为401(k)投资者提供更全面的21世纪投资策略。

💰 **DC投资的局限与私有市场的潜力:** 美国DC退休储蓄体系(以401(k)为代表)在过去几十年中经历了诸多创新,但其投资范围一直被限制在公开交易的股票和债券。这使得数千万美国劳动者错失了房地产、私募股权、信贷和基础设施等私有市场投资机会。而这些私有市场资产,却是全球领先的养老金、捐赠基金和主权财富基金的核心配置,为它们提供了重要的增长和多元化来源。

📈 **新金融时代的需求与私有市场的优势:** 在过去的低利率和稳定上涨的股市环境中,传统资产类别足以支撑退休目标。然而,当前的高利率环境和波动的股市回报,使得仅依赖传统资产可能难以满足退休需求。私有市场,尽管流动性较低且需要更审慎的尽职调查,但能提供差异化的回报来源,例如受益于通胀挂钩现金流的基础设施项目,以及在信贷市场收紧时表现更佳的私募信贷策略。

🌍 **全球最佳实践与学术支持:** 加拿大、澳大利亚、英国、瑞典、丹麦和荷兰等多个国家的退休基金,都已将超过25%的投资配置于私有资产。这些机构长期投资于私有市场,是因为它们在长期投资视角下,能提供高风险调整后回报、良好的分散化以及与公开股票市场较低的相关性。现代投资组合理论也支持通过投资于不同资产类别来降低风险和提升长期回报,而私有市场恰好提供了这种多元化。

💡 **私有市场与401(k)投资者的契合度:** 对于具有数十年投资视野的401(k)投资者而言,短期流动性并非主要顾虑,这与房地产、私募股权和基础设施等私有市场资产的长期持有周期高度吻合。这种投资策略的匹配,能够帮助中产阶级DC退休储蓄者更好地实现其投资和退休时间规划。

🚀 **市场结构变化与风险管理:** 近几十年来,美国公开上市公司数量显著减少,同时私有市场蓬勃发展,许多高价值和创新型公司选择长期保持私有状态。此外,美国公开股票市场的集中度日益提高,例如“七巨头”占据了标普500指数的很大一部分,带来了前所未有的市场集中风险。将私有资产纳入DC计划,可以通过资产类别多元化来有效缓解这一风险。

America’s $12.4 trillion defined contribution (DC) retirement savings system, centered around workplace 401(k) plans, accounts for nearly half of global retirement finance assets. For the past four decades, the system has served tens of millions of working Americans, steadily rolling out innovations like automatic enrollment, automatic contribution escalation, target date funds, and managed accounts.

But notwithstanding these innovations, U.S. DC investment allocations have been stuck—stubbornly limited to investing only in publicly traded stocks and bonds. As a consequence, U.S. DC savings plans have overlooked a growing array of private market investment opportunities—real estate, private equity, private credit, and infrastructure—that are considered core assets in the world’s leading defined benefit (DB) pension funds, endowments, and sovereign wealth funds.

It’s time that changed.

A new financial era

For decades, 401(k) portfolios benefited from a tailwind of falling interest rates and rising equity prices. But today’s higher-rate environment and volatile equity returns mean that simply riding the wave of traditional asset classes may no longer be enough to meet participant retirement goals.

Private markets offer a compelling alternative. While they have a different liquidity profile and require more due diligence, they also provide access to differentiated sources of return, including infrastructure projects that benefit from inflation-linked cash flows and private credit strategies that can outperform in tighter credit markets.

U.S. public pension funds like CalPERS and Texas Teachers have invested in private markets for decades. Why, then, should tens of millions of 401(k) savers be denied access to these same beneficial strategies?

The future of the 401(k)’s continued relevance will be reliant on additional investment avenues that only the private markets can provide.

Global allocation best practice

Canada’s much-respected DB pension funds, including the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan and the Canada Pension Plan, allocate more than 25 % of their investments to private assets. Australia’s DC superannuation funds, the U.K.’s retirement savings plans (including the National Employment Savings Trust), and pension funds in Sweden, Denmark, and the Netherlands have done the same.

These respected institutions have long-engaged private market assets because over long-term investment horizons, they offer high risk-adjusted returns, diversification, and low correlation with public equity markets.

Academic and financial case for private markets

Modern portfolio theory has always told us that diversifying across uncorrelated asset classes is the most reliable way to reduce risk and enhance long-term returns. Private market investments provide just this kind of diversification. What’s more, pension funds investing in privates are able to harvest a “liquidity premium” that rewards investors for allocating to long-term strategies that are undistracted by the need to offer daily pricing and liquidity.

For long-term 401(k) investors with multi-decade horizons, short-term liquidity isn’t a major concern. A typical 401(k) plan participant in their twenties, thirties, or even forties may have 30 years before they need to tap into their savings. This correlates neatly with the extended holding periods of real estate, private equity funds, and infrastructure projects. Middle-class DC retirement savers should benefit from strategies that align their investment and retirement time horizons, as has long been standard practice for DB pension funds and endowments.

The incredible shrinking equity market

The evolving structure of contemporary capital markets is also an important factor. Over the past generation, the U.S. public equity market has shrunk dramatically—from some 8,000 publicly traded companies in the 1980s to about half that today. At the same time, private markets have been booming. Many of the most valuable and innovative companies in the world—notably in the energy, health, and technology sectors—have remained private well into maturity, bypassing the IPO route that dominated in decades past.

As a result, many of the fastest-growing companies are now funded by venture capital and private equity, not public equity markets. DC investors have only seized opportunities in the public markets but have been unable to access to some of the most dynamic segments of capital markets and the global economy.

U.S. public equity markets have also become remarkably concentrated. As of 2025, the so-called “Magnificent Seven”—Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Nvidia, and Tesla—made up more than 30% of the S&P 500, creating historically unprecedented market concentration risk. The incorporation of private assets in DC plans could play an important strategic role in mitigating that risk through asset class diversification.

The tools are ready

Skeptics often point to fiduciary concerns, regulatory risk, or the challenge of illiquidity. Among them is Sen. Elizabeth Warren, whose concerns I recently addressed after she outlined them in a letter to me upon learning about Empower’s plans to give 401(k) investors access to private markets and with President Donald Trump poised to sign an executive order to make it easier.

But these hurdles are not prohibitions—they are opportunities for innovation. The financial industry has created structures like private equity funds-of-funds, interval funds, collective investments trusts, and semi-liquid real estate vehicles that allow for some liquidity while maintaining exposure to private market returns.

21st-century investment opportunities

There is no single magic bullet for solving the U.S. retirement challenge. But expanding the 401(k) system to include the consideration of private market assets is one of the most promising new opportunities. Plan sponsors, asset managers, and record-keepers have been given regulatory safe harbor and are well-positioned to lead—prudently, transparently, and inclusively. The next decade of DC plan innovation will define retirement outcomes for a new generation of savers. Let’s give them access to the full range of 21st-century investment strategies.

The opinions expressed in Fortune.com commentary pieces are solely the views of their authors and do not necessarily reflect the opinions and beliefs of Fortune.

Read more:

Introducing the 2025 Fortune 500

, the definitive ranking of the biggest companies in America. 

Explore this year's list.

Fish AI Reader

Fish AI Reader

AI辅助创作,多种专业模板,深度分析,高质量内容生成。从观点提取到深度思考,FishAI为您提供全方位的创作支持。新版本引入自定义参数,让您的创作更加个性化和精准。

FishAI

FishAI

鱼阅,AI 时代的下一个智能信息助手,助你摆脱信息焦虑

联系邮箱 441953276@qq.com

相关标签

401(k) 退休储蓄 私有市场 投资多元化 金融创新
相关文章