Fortune | FORTUNE 07月17日 18:02
Jerome Powell is gaining some key backing on Capitol Hill from GOP senators
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近期,关于美国总统特朗普是否应解雇美联储主席鲍威尔的讨论在共和党内部引发了广泛分歧。一些共和党参议员,如参议员蒂利斯和罗恩德,明确警告称解雇鲍威尔将损害美联储的独立性,并可能给美国经济带来不确定性。他们认为,总统的干预会将美联储置于政治影响之下,损害市场对经济决策的信心。然而,也有部分共和党人,如参议员莫雷诺,则对鲍威尔的领导能力表示不满,认为他应辞职。尽管存在争议,但许多人也指出,鲍威尔的任期即将届满,特朗普届时将有机会任命新主席。文章还提及了特朗普政府试图以“建筑翻新项目”为由解雇鲍威尔的尝试,以及此举可能面临的法律挑战和对市场信心的影响。

🏛️ 共和党内部分歧显现:部分共和党人警告解雇美联储主席鲍威尔将损害美联储的独立性,并可能对美国经济造成负面影响,认为美联储应独立于政治干预。参议员蒂利斯强调,将美联储变成总统控制下的机构是一个巨大的错误,并指出经济后果将主要影响普通民众的退休金。参议员罗恩德也表示,美联储的独立性对于市场预测和决策的完整性至关重要。

📈 对鲍威尔领导的不满与替代方案:尽管有反对声音,但部分共和党人对鲍威尔的领导表示不满,认为他是“美国历史上最无能、最差的美联储主席”。同时,也有观点指出,鲍威尔的现任期将于明年结束,特朗普届时将有机会任命新任主席,从而避免直接解雇带来的争议和潜在的法律风险。

⚖️ 解雇鲍威尔的法律与政治考量:文章指出,总统是否有权解雇美联储主席存在法律上的模糊性。国会一百多年前设立美联储时,规定其官员只能“因正当理由”被解雇,这是一个比多数政治任命更高的门槛。特朗普政府试图以鲍威尔在美联储总部翻新项目上的处理方式作为解雇的理由,但此举被认为具有法律上的疑点,可能会引发漫长的法律诉讼,并且可能难以实现。

🔍 透明度与问责制的呼吁:参议员沃伦和参议员斯科特都对美联储的运作提出了透明度和问责制的要求。沃伦认为,虽然独立性不代表不受约束,但特朗普政府试图利用建筑翻新项目来解雇鲍威尔的做法是“给个说法”。斯科特则表示,他一直呼吁提高美联储的透明度和问责制,并认为鲍威尔的回应信函有助于改善沟通和透明度。

As Trump seemingly waffled back and forth this week on trying to dismiss the Fed chair, some Republicans in Congress began to speak up and warn that such a move would be a mistake. Trump would potentially obliterate the Fed’s independence from political influence and inject uncertainty into the foundations of the U.S. economy if he fires Powell.

“If anybody thinks it would be a good idea for the Fed to become another agency in the government subject to the president, they’re making a huge mistake,” GOP North Carolina Sen. Thom Tillis said in a floor speech.

The measure of support from GOP members of the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs showed how traditional Republicans are carefully navigating a presidency in which Trump often flirts with ideas — like steep tariffs or firing the Fed chair — that threaten to undermine confidence in the U.S. economy.

Tillis, who recently decided not to seek reelection after clashing with Trump, later told The Associated Press that the economic fallout from Powell’s firing would mostly hurt “little guys like me that grew up in trailer parks that may have a few thousand dollars in a 401k.”

He also pointed out that the underlying complaint that Trump has with the Fed — its reluctance to cut interest rates — is not controlled by Powell alone, but instead a 12-member committee.

“The markets expect an independent, central bank,” said GOP South Dakota Sen. Mike Rounds, who cautioned against firing Powell. “And if they thought for a minute that he wasn’t independent, it would cast a spell over the forecasts and the integrity of the decisions being made by the bank.”

Still, plenty of other Republicans think that dismissing Powell is a fine idea.

“The most incompetent, worst Federal Reserve chairman in American history should resign,” said GOP Ohio Sen. Bernie Moreno.

Trump said he was also encouraged to fire Powell during a meeting with about a dozen far-right House members Tuesday evening.

Do presidents have authority to fire the Fed chair?

House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., told reporters that he was “unhappy with the leadership” at the Fed, but added “I’m honestly not sure whether that executive authority exists” to fire Powell.

House Financial Services Committee chair French Hill has underscored that presidents don’t have the authority to fire the Fed chair, yet has also been sympathetic to Trump’s complaints about Powell’s leadership. He and other Republicans have also noted that Powell’s term as chair is ending next year anyway, and Trump will have an opportunity to name a new chair then.

When Congress started the Federal Reserve over 100 years ago, it insulated it from political pressure by stipulating that its governors and chair could only be fired “for cause” — a higher bar than most political appointees. However, the Trump administration has maneuvered to meet that standard by accusing Powell of mishandling a $2.5 billion renovation project at the Fed’s headquarters.

“When his initial attempts to bully Powell failed, Trump and Republicans in Congress suddenly decided to look into how much the Fed is spending on building renovations,” Sen. Elizabeth Warren, the top Democrat on the Senate Banking Committee, said in a speech Wednesday. “Independence does not mean impunity and I have long pushed for more transparency and accountability at the Fed. But give me a break.”

After Powell sent Congress a letter detailing parts of the renovation project, Sen. Tim Scott, the Senate Banking Committee chair, released a short statement saying Scott “has continued to call for increased transparency and accountability at the Federal Reserve, and this letter is consistent with improving the communication and transparency he is seeking.”

Avoiding a protracted legal battle

Regardless, it would be legally dubious to fire Powell over the renovation.

“That would be litigated and I don’t see a reason, for cause or otherwise, to remove him,” Sen. John Kennedy, a Republican member of the Senate committee that oversees the Fed, told reporters this week.

He added that he understood the president’s “frustration” with the Fed’s reluctance to lower interest rates as it tries to tamp down inflation, saying, “I get that, but I think it’s very important the Federal Reserve remains independent.”

Even those Republicans who argued that the president has grounds to fire Powell and piled criticism on the central banker conceded that it would still be a painful step.

“That’s a decision the president will make, and he’s being very deliberate about it,” said Moreno, the Ohio senator who called for Powell’s resignation. “But I don’t think we should put the country through any of that.”

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美联储 鲍威尔 特朗普 共和党 经济独立性
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