a16z 07月16日 23:26
The Smartest Consumer Apps Now Cost $200 a MonthNew
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过去,消费者软件主要依赖广告或订阅模式,价格上限较低。如今,像Perplexity Max、Claude Max等产品纷纷推出每月200美元的超高价位,早期用户也乐于为此付费。这些产品看似面向大众,但其高级付费层服务于特定用户群体,如开发者和创意人员。免费层是引流工具,而高价位才是真正的盈利点。这种模式之所以有效,是因为这些产品为特定用户提供了前所未有的价值,并推动了口碑传播。

💡 传统软件定价模式面临变革:过去,消费者软件主要依靠广告或低价订阅,但现在,高价位产品正在崛起,如Perplexity Max和Claude Max等,价格高达每月200美元。

🔍 高价位产品针对特定用户群体:这些高价位产品并非面向大众市场,而是服务于特定用户,如开发者和创意人员。例如,Claude Max的用户是构建和调试复杂应用的开发者,Gemini Ultra的用户是制作视频的创意人员。

💰 高价位模式的商业潜力:与依赖广告的传统模式相比,高价位模式所需的客户数量大大减少。例如,每月200美元的订阅费只需41,000名客户即可实现1亿美元的年收入,这使得产品更容易专注于特定社区的口碑传播。

🚀 窄众应用将成为未来趋势:这种模式鼓励开发者专注于为特定用户群体提供深度价值,而不是追求广泛的用户增长。未来的消费者软件将更倾向于“窄众”应用,而非“大众”应用。

For 15 years, consumer software meant free with ads or maybe $20 a month. That was the ceiling. Everyone knew consumers wouldn’t pay more.

But look at what’s happening right now. Perplexity Max costs $200 monthly. Claude Max hits the same price point. ChatGPT Pro, Gemini Ultra, Grok Heavy — all clustering around this new $200 tier. Early adopters are happily paying 10x the old ceiling.

Here’s what’s interesting: these look like horizontal products for everyone. But their hyper-premium tiers tell a different story. The people paying $200 for Claude aren’t casual users — they’re developers building and debugging complex apps. Gemini Ultra users aren’t googling movie times — they’re creatives generating hundreds of Veo 3 videos and stitching them together into micro-films. 

These are narrow apps hiding inside broader platforms. The free tier is the funnel. The $200 tier is the real product.

Why does this work? Because these hyper-premium SKUs aren’t mass market products, they’re 100x leaps for specific consumers in a way that wasn’t previously possible. Can you imagine being an engineer that’s not using Cursor in 2025? There is no going back.

The math is compelling. Traditional ad-supported apps need hundreds of millions of users to build real businesses. But at $200 per month, you only need 41,000 customers to build a $100 million RR company. That’s a thriving Discord server, not a global phenomenon. And the unit economics should be better, since tailored products lend themselves to word-of-mouth growth within niche communities.

This changes everything about building consumer software. No more growth at all costs. No more engagement hacking. No more selling your users’ attention to advertisers. Just go insanely deep on something a very specific group of people loves or needs, and charge accordingly.

This should also be a much more satisfying experience for builders. The winners will go the deepest on product instead of being the best at growth marketing. In an era of abundance, specificity wins.

My prediction is that the mass market consumer startup will be increasingly rare. The future belongs to Narrow Startups that go deep, not wide. And, what the smartest apps charge today is what every valuable app will charge in three years.

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软件 付费模式 窄众 商业模式
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