Fortune | FORTUNE 07月16日 22:47
With all eyes on Apple’s next earnings report, one research firm calls on Tim Cook to step aside
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苹果公司股价年初至今下跌,市场对其未来发展表示担忧。文章指出,苹果面临来自供应链、人工智能等方面的压力。分析师认为,苹果需要在人工智能领域有所突破,甚至可能需要进行大规模收购。尽管如此,苹果的服务业务增长强劲,为公司提供了新的增长点。7月31日的财报将成为关键,市场关注苹果能否利用高利润的服务业务推动营收增长,从而扭转股价颓势。

📉 苹果公司股价年初至今下跌约16%,市场对其未来发展表示担忧。

😟 分析师认为,苹果在人工智能领域落后,可能需要进行大规模收购以追赶竞争对手,甚至呼吁更换CEO。

💡 苹果服务业务增长强劲,包括iCloud、App Store和广告等,成为新的增长点,营收占比持续增加。

💰 7月31日的财报将成为关键,市场关注苹果能否利用高利润的服务业务推动营收增长,从而扭转股价颓势。

As Apple’s stock trades down double digits since the start of the year, market onlookers are hoping its next earnings call will show strength and dispel doubts about Tim Cook’s leadership.

The iPhone maker has faced pressure across the board since the start of the year, especially as President Donald Trump’s tariffs threaten its Asia supply chain. At the same time, some have claimed the company has fallen behind in the accelerating AI race, and may need to execute an uncharacteristically massive acquisition to catch up.

Amid all those obstacles, Apple’s stock is down about 16% year-to-date. And research firm LightShed Partners suggested in a recent note to clients that the company’s woes, in AI especially, mean Apple needs a shakeup at the top.

“Apple now needs a product-focused CEO, not one centered on logistics. Apple has ‘pulled the string’ on too many product categories, only to see them fall short of meaningful scale, or fail to materialize entirely,” wrote LightShed analysts Walter Piecyk and Joe Galone. “But AI is not something that Apple can merely ‘pull the string’ on. Missing on AI could fundamentally alter the company’s long-term trajectory and ability to grow at all.”

The analysts’ comments come in the wake of Apple’s annual WWDC, which Wedbush analyst Dan Ives called “a snoozer” which barely mentioned AI. The LightShed analysts noted that it would be kind to say Apple overpromised and underdelivered on its AI promises from last year to this year. 

“Apple was nowhere with AI then, and little has changed since,” the note read.

Ives of Wedbush has called for Apple to acquire the AI web search startup Perplexity in order to gain a foothold in the AI race. Still, Apple, in the tradition of cofounder Steve Jobs, has mostly preferred to build products in-house rather than acquire.

Apple did not immediately respond to Fortune’s request for comment.

Despite the company’s issues, calls for Tim Cook to step aside may be premature, others have claimed, given his past success in elevating the company’s stock price by nearly 1500% over his decade-plus tenure. Thanks in part to his background in logistics, the Apple CEO also revamped the company’s supply chains to achieve higher margins and grew its net income to about $100 billion at its peak, from $25.9 billion at the start of his tenure.

Other market onlookers, including Melissa Otto, the head of research at S&P Global Visible Alpha, say the company’s upcoming earnings on July 31, are Apple’s chance to demonstrate a turnaround. 

If Apple is no longer going to deliver the same kind of growth investors have been used to in its core devices business, it will need to show the potential of another category.

This lifeline could come in the form of Apple’s growing services business, which includes iCloud, App Store purchase fees, and advertising. During its second quarter, Apple’s year-over-year services growth grew by double digits to about $26.6 billion, which—while still short of the $68.7 billion brought in by its products—made up a growing chunk of its revenue. Services revenue came in at $96.1 billion as of the company’s last annual report, up from $85.2 billion in fiscal 2023, and analysts project it will continue to grow by year’s end.

The question now, said Otto, is whether Apple can take advantage of the high-margin services business to really drive revenue growth. 

“I think if they can continue to outpace expectations around the services business, we may start to see additional incremental positive sentiment come into the stock; however, if they don’t, that does leave a lot of open questions about what’s next for them,” Otto told Fortune.

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