Fortune | FORTUNE 20小时前
Wall Street was expecting a TACO Tuesday. But Dow futures fall 250 points after Trump says he will set tariffs as high as 70%
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由于美国总统特朗普表示将开始发送信件告知各国将面临的关税,美国股市期货周五暴跌。特朗普表示,大约“10到12”封信将在周五发出,未来几天还将发出更多信件。这些关税税率将在8月1日生效,从60%到10%或20%不等。尽管美国市场因7月4日假期休市,但道琼斯工业平均指数期货下跌了251点,标准普尔500指数期货下跌0.64%,纳斯达克期货下跌0.68%。

✉️ 特朗普计划发送信件通知各国关税:特朗普表示将开始发送信件告知各国将面临的关税,这些信件将详细说明关税税率,预计将在8月1日生效。

📉 市场反应:由于特朗普的关税计划,美国股市期货出现下跌。道琼斯工业平均指数期货下跌251点,标准普尔500指数期货下跌0.64%,纳斯达克期货下跌0.68%。

🗓️ 关税暂停即将到期:此前,特朗普政府已暂停关税90天,但暂停期将于7月9日到期。市场原本预计特朗普会延长关税暂停期。

💬 特朗普的立场:特朗普表示,他更倾向于单方面设定对各国的关税,而不是与所有国家进行谈判。他认为,发送信件是结束贸易协议的方式。

U.S. stock futures tumbled on Friday after President Donald Trump said he will start sending out letters informing countries of what tariffs they will face.

On Thursday, he told reporters that about “10 or 12” letters would go out Friday, with additional letters coming “over the next few days.” The rates would become effective Aug. 1.

“They’ll range in value from maybe 60 or 70% tariffs to 10 and 20% tariffs,” Trump added.

While U.S. markets were closed for the July 4 holiday, futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 251 points, or 0.56%. S&P 500 futures were down 0.64%, and Nasdaq futures fell 0.68%.

U.S. oil prices slipped 0.75% to $66.50 per barrel, and Brent crude lost 0.41% to $68.52. Gold edged up 0.11% to $3,346.70 per ounce, while the U.S. dollar fell 0.16% against the euro and 0.30% against the yen.

The Trump administration has been negotiating with top trade partners since the president put his “Liberation Day” tariffs on a 90-day pause.

That reprieve will expire on Wednesday, July 9. So far, only a few limited trade deals have been announced, and negotiations with other countries were expected to require more time.

So as the Wednesday deadline approached, Wall Street was expecting Trump to announce an extension to the tariff pause by Tuesday, reviving the so-called TACO trade that alludes to his history of pulling back from his maximalist threats.

“We suspect that further last-minute concessions will be made to permit extensions for most countries, but a few of the ‘worst offenders’ may be singled out for punitive treatment,” analysts at Capital Economics predicted earlier this week. “Markets seem to be positioned for a fairly benign outcome, implying a risk of some near-term turbulence if that fails to materialise.”

That assumes Trump won’t risk a repeat of the epic April selloff that was triggered by his Liberation Day tariffs, and Capital Economics also warned such an assumption could be complacent.

In fact, Trump has been saying for weeks that he prefers to unilaterally set tariffs with each country rather than engage in negotiations with all of them. But amid the absence of any letters, markets dismissed the risk of that tariffs could spike again.

Still, Trump has kept beating the drum about letters. In an interview that aired on Sunday, he was asked about the tariff pause and the looming deadline.

“I’d rather just send them a letter, very fair letter, saying, ‘Congratulations, we’re going to allow you to trade in the United States of America. You’re gonna pay a 25% tariff or 20% or 40% or 50%,’” Trump replied. “I would rather do that.”

When asked if the pause will not be extended, he said, “I don’t think I’ll need to because—I could—there’s no big deal.”

Trump further clarified his stance on the July 9 deadline, saying, “I’m gonna send letters. That’s the end of the trade deal.”

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特朗普 关税 股市 贸易战
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