Fortune | FORTUNE 14小时前
Condo prices are falling. Gen Z and millennials: This could be your shot to break into the housing market
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由于疫情期间的低利率刺激了购房潮,随后抵押贷款利率在2023年10月飙升至8%,导致许多新买家,尤其是年轻一代,被挡在市场之外。然而,随着公寓价格的下跌,千禧一代和Z世代可能迎来购房机会。公寓价格的下降主要源于高昂的HOA费用和保险费用。专家建议,购房者应仔细研究HOA的财务状况,了解潜在的特别评估,并在做出决定前充分了解相关成本。佛罗里达州的案例表明,HOA和保险费用可能给购房者带来意外负担。

📉 近期,由于抵押贷款利率上升和房价上涨,年轻一代进入房地产市场面临挑战。然而,公寓价格的下跌为他们提供了新的机会。

🏘️ 公寓价格下跌的原因:根据Redfin的数据,由于业主对高昂的HOA费用和保险费用感到不满,公寓价格正在下降。例如,5月份公寓价格同比下降了2%,这是自2012年以来第二大降幅。

💡 购房建议:专家建议购房者在购买公寓前,应深入了解HOA的财务状况,注意特别评估,并充分了解相关的费用。透明、维护良好、财务状况良好的建筑更具吸引力。

💰 成本考量:购房者不仅要考虑购买价格,还要考虑每月的总支出。佛罗里达州的例子表明,HOA和保险费用的上涨可能给购房者带来意想不到的负担,例如,坦帕的每月HOA费用同比增长了17.2%。

Following the sub-3% mortgage rates during the pandemic that ushered in a wave of new homeownership, hopeful homeowners were slapped by rates that peaked at 8% in October 2023. That halted many new buyers from entering the market—particularly younger generations.

But there may be a small sliver of the market where Gen Zers and millennials could have the opportunity to break in, even though home prices are currently 51% higher than they were the same time in 2020, according to the Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index. Condo prices are actually falling, and dropped 2% year-over-year in May, according to Redfin. That’s the second-largest decline since the real-estate company started tracking the data in 2012.

Condo prices are dropping because homeowners have gotten fed up with high HOA and insurance fees, according to Redfin. The average cost of a condo in the U.S. is $354,100, Redfin data shows. 

Jaclyn Bild, a real-estate broker associate at Douglas Elliman Real Estate based in Miami, confirmed the drop in prices has primarily been driven by rising HOA fees, insurance premiums, and overall cost of ownership—not a drop in demand.

“Inventory has increased slightly, and days on market have ticked up, giving buyers more leverage than they’ve had in recent years,” Bild told Fortune. “This window could represent an opportunity for younger buyers who’ve been sidelined by pricing wars or rising interest rates.”

That could be welcome news for Gen Zers and millennials who have had a tough time breaking into the housing market for a host of reasons: comparatively high mortgage rates, rising home prices, and older generations holding onto their homes for longer than they used to. 

The pros and cons of buying a condo

Buying a condo can be a good place for first-time homeowners to start because of their typically lower price tag than single-family homes—and less maintenance to boot. 

Brett Johnson, a Colorado real-estate agent and owner of New Era Home Buyers, told Fortune condo prices in his housing market have been dropping since June 2024 when the average closing price of a condo was $416,000. As of this June, the average price had dropped 2.6% to $405,000. While not a huge drop, it’s “enough to get buyers’ attention,” Johnson said. 

“This could still be a good entry point for Gen Z or millennial buyers who understand the risks and are willing to do their homework,” he added. 

The homework is understanding the associated HOA and insurance costs with owning a condo. This is mostly a problem with older or underfunded buildings, he said. 

“I’ve helped buyers take advantage of these price dips, but I always tell them to dig deep into the HOA’s financials, look out for special assessments and understand what they’re signing up for,” Johnson said. “Some of these condos are still great deals, but only if you know what you’re getting into.”

Florida has been a prime example of where HOA and insurance fees have caught homeowners by surprise. In recent years, wealthy homeowners have flocked to Florida for its warm weather and smaller tax bills, but were met with unexpected housing fees. An August 2024 Redfin report showed median monthly HOA fee increased 17.2% year over year in Tampa, compared to 5.7% nationally, as an example. 

Meanwhile, home insurance prices are expected to jump 8% this year, with some states seeing a 27% jump, according to a study by Insurify. 

“Buyers are looking at not just the purchase price, but the total monthly outlay—and if those numbers don’t work, they’re walking away or negotiating more aggressively,” Bild said. “It’s a numbers game, and buildings with transparency, maintenance history, and financial health are coming out ahead.”

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公寓价格 购房 千禧一代 Z世代 HOA费用
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