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Tehran to Taipei: the Risks of Strategic Overreach | Dmitri Alperovitch
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在Hidden Forces的第425集中,Demetri Kofinas与地缘政治和情报分析师Dmitri Alperovitch探讨了美国和以色列袭击伊朗后出现的新安全动态和经济机遇。文章分析了以色列针对伊朗核计划的袭击,包括暗杀核科学家和高级官员的决策。讨论了美国的参与、伊朗的反应、潜在的额外影响,以及伊朗国内的政治状况。Alperovitch还评估了特朗普直接介入以色列与伊朗战争的决定是否符合美国的国家利益,以及对中东地区安全动态的影响,以及对华盛顿与中国的冷战风险评估。

💥 Alperovitch分析了以色列针对伊朗核计划的袭击,包括暗杀关键核科学家和高级革命卫队成员的决定。文章探讨了美国的参与,伊朗的反应,以及这些袭击可能造成的额外影响。

🌍 讨论了伊朗国内的政治状况,以及这一轮暴力是否可能导致伊朗政府垮台或引发针对最高领袖哈梅内伊的政变。

💡 Alperovitch评估了特朗普直接让美国军方参与以色列与伊朗战争的决定是否符合美国的国家利益,以及这是否会导致战略过度扩张,从而进一步损害美国的安全和全球领导地位的信誉。

🔍 探讨了这一举动如何被沙特阿拉伯和海湾国家等其他地区参与者所感知,以及它如何改变中东地区的安全动态。

🇨🇳 讨论了这一事件对Dmitri评估华盛顿在与中华人民共和国的更广泛的冷战中面临的风险的影响。

In Episode 425 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with geopolitical and intelligence analyst Dmitri Alperovitch about the new security dynamics and economic opportunities that arise from America’s and Israel’s attacks on Iran, the risks of strategic overreach, and whether U.S. actions do more to compel or deter a Chinese invasion of Taiwan.

In the first hour, Alperovitch scrutinizes Israel’s decision to initiate a series of targeted strikes against Iran’s nuclear program, including their decision to assassinate key nuclear scientists and senior members of the IRGC. We discuss America’s choice to participate in this campaign, Iran’s response, potential additional repercussions from these attacks, political conditions within the Islamic Republic, and whether this latest round of violence might precipitate the collapse of the Iranian government or incite a coup against its supreme leader, Ali Khamenei.

In the second hour, Alperovitch is asked whether he believes Trump's decision to involve the American military directly in Israel’s war with Iran was in America’s national interests or if it results in strategic overreach that will further undermine American security and the credibility of American global leadership. He and Kofinas discuss how this move is perceived by other regional players like Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States, how it alters the security dynamics in the Middle East, and how it affects Dmitri’s assessment of the risks Washington faces in its broader Cold War with the People's Republic of China.

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Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou

Subscribe and support the podcast at https://hiddenforces.io. Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas

Episode Recorded on 06/23/2025

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相关标签

伊朗 以色列 地缘政治 安全 美国
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