Fortune | FORTUNE 前天 23:35
Senate tax bill would add $3.3 trillion to U.S. deficits, CBO says
index_new5.html
../../../zaker_core/zaker_tpl_static/wap/tpl_guoji1.html

 

根据国会预算办公室的最新评估,美国参议院版本的特朗普税收和支出措施将在十年内增加近3.3万亿美元的美国赤字。该法案包括4.5万亿美元的减税措施,并通过使用“当前政策基线”来规避财政影响,引发了民主党人和经济学家的担忧。该法案还涉及对安全网计划的削减,以及对某些商业税收减免的永久化。与众议院版本相比,参议院版本的成本更高,且面临着来自议员的修改要求,凸显了其在参议院面临的挑战。

💰 根据国会预算办公室的估计,该法案将在十年内使美国赤字增加近3.3万亿美元,反映出相对于现行法律基线,收入减少4.5万亿美元,支出减少1.2万亿美元。

⚖️ 该法案包含4.5万亿美元的减税措施,共和党人试图通过使用“当前政策基线”来永久延长2017年的所得税减免,从而规避对财政的影响。这种做法在预算流程中是前所未有的,引发了争议。

📉 该法案还涉及对安全网计划的削减,包括医疗补助和补充营养援助计划(SNAP),以及对某些商业税收减免的永久化。参议院版本还对工人的小费和加班费的税收减免进行了限制。

🏛️ 与众议院上个月通过的版本相比,参议院版本的成本更高,后者也考虑了经济影响和因更高债务负担而导致的更高利率。该法案在参议院面临多重障碍,议员们要求进行相互冲突的修改。

The Senate version of President Donald Trump’s tax and spending measure would add nearly $3.3 trillion to US deficits over a decade, according to a new estimate from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office.

The CBO score for the so-called One Big Beautiful Bill reflects a $4.5 trillion decrease in revenues and a $1.2 trillion decrease in spending through 2034, relative to a current law baseline.

The Senate bill, by Republican request, was also scored as costing $507.6 billion over a decade relative to a current policy baseline. The party’s lawmakers have sought to use the accounting maneuver to permanently extend President Donald Trump’s 2017 income-tax cuts, and score them as costing nothing. 

The bill includes $4.5 trillion worth of tax cuts, according to a Saturday estimate from the Joint Committee on Taxation.

Use of the current policy baseline is unprecedented for the reconciliation process the Republicans are using to approve the massive legislation with a simple majority. The cost of a bill is normally measured according to what effect it would have on the federal budget under current law. But the Republicans want to revise the process by assuming that current policies remain in place indefinitely. 

The bill’s cost has been a big problem for fiscal conservatives. It has faced several obstacles in the Senate as lawmakers have demanded conflicting changes. Then a number of spending cuts included in the package were changed as they did not comply with Senate rules for the reconciliation process. 

Earlier: Trump Speeds Up Tax Bill Deadline as Tentative SALT Deal Reached

Democrats and some economists have argued use of the current policy baseline allows GOP lawmakers to circumvent rules that would otherwise limit the bill’s fiscal effects. That, they say, imperils the nation’s fiscal trajectory.

The cost of the Senate bill is higher than the CBO’s $2.8 trillion projected cost of the version passed by the House last month, which also accounts for economic effects and higher interest rates spurred by larger debt loads.

The legislation encompasses much of Trump’s economic agenda. In addition to the 2017 tax break extension, it would make make various spending cuts to safety net programs, including Medicaid and the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, or food stamps. 

The Senate version made three business tax breaks permanent, limits deductions on new tax breaks on workers’ tips and overtime and includes changes to some of the Medicaid provisions.

House and Senate Republicans have also reached a deal to alter the cap on federal deductions for state and local taxes. That limit will remain at the $40,000 limit set in the House bill, but it will be limited to a five-year period, rather than 10 years.

Introducing the 2025 Fortune 500

, the definitive ranking of the biggest companies in America. 

Explore this year's list.

Fish AI Reader

Fish AI Reader

AI辅助创作,多种专业模板,深度分析,高质量内容生成。从观点提取到深度思考,FishAI为您提供全方位的创作支持。新版本引入自定义参数,让您的创作更加个性化和精准。

FishAI

FishAI

鱼阅,AI 时代的下一个智能信息助手,助你摆脱信息焦虑

联系邮箱 441953276@qq.com

相关标签

税收 赤字 财政 参议院
相关文章