Fortune | FORTUNE 18小时前
Trump’s budget bill and DOGE’s IRS staffing cuts could lead to a nightmare 2026 tax season, watchdog warns
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根据最新的《全国纳税人权益倡导者》报告,美国国税局(IRS)的员工数量在过去一年中大幅下降,从102,113人减少到75,702人。报告指出,员工流失主要源于特朗普政府时期推行的联邦机构规模缩减政策,以及共和党提议的削减IRS预算。报告还强调了员工减少对纳税人的潜在影响,特别是2026年报税季可能面临的挑战,以及身份盗窃案件处理的延迟。这些问题都对IRS的服务效率和纳税人的权益构成了威胁。

📉 员工流失:IRS员工数量大幅下降,主要由于特朗普政府的机构规模缩减政策,以及员工主动离职。报告指出,最大的裁员发生在纳税人服务、小型企业/个体经营办公室和信息技术部门。

💰 预算削减:共和党提议的预算包括在下一年削减IRS 20%的资金,如果算上此前被共和党剥夺的补充资金,则削减幅度高达37%。

🗓️ 2026年报税季风险:由于员工减少和税法变更,2026年报税季可能面临挑战。报告指出,IRS尚未开始关键准备工作,包括招聘和培训季节性和永久性员工。

📜 税法变更的影响:如果特朗普的立法方案得以实施,将对2025年税收年度产生追溯影响,需要IRS快速更新税表和程序。

⏳ 身份盗窃案件处理延迟:IRS在解决自报身份盗窃受害者援助案件方面存在延迟,处理时间长达20个月。截至2025年报税季末,IRS正在处理约387,000个此类案件。

The IRS workforce has fallen from 102,113 workers to 75,702 over the past year, according to the latest National Taxpayer Advocate report to Congress. The report Wednesday offered the first official numbers on the IRS job losses associated with Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency.

Most of the employees took the “fork in the road” resignation offer from DOGE rather than waiting to get laid off.

Some of the findings from the report:

Taxpayers will likely see effects of staffing reductions

The Trump administration’s efforts to shrink the size of the federal bureaucracy to a mass exodus of probationary employees who had not yet gained civil service protections and were offered buyouts through a “deferred resignation program.” More than 17,500 IRS workers took that route. The biggest cuts were in taxpayer services, the small business/self-employed office and information technology.

The report noted that the Republican administration’s proposed budget includes a 20% reduction in IRS funding next year. That’s a 37% reduction when taking into account the supplemental funding in the Biden-era Inflation Reduction Act that Republicans previously stripped away.

“A reduction of that magnitude is likely to impact taxpayers and potentially the revenue collected,” wrote Erin M. Collins, who leads the organization assigned to protect taxpayers’ rights.

The 2026 tax season could be precarious

Collins said the 2025 filing season was “one of the most successful filing seasons in recent memory,” though she warned that the 2026 season could be rocky.

“With the IRS workforce reduced by 26% and significant tax law changes on the horizon, there are risks to next year’s filing season,” Collins wrote. “It is critical that the IRS begin to take steps now to prepare.”

She said that, halfway through the year, there were concerns that the IRS had not yet undertaken key preparation steps, including hiring and training seasonal and permanent employees.

Trump’s package could add new layer of problems

The report warned about the possibility of understaffing to manage new provisions from Trump’s legislative package if it’s enacted.

“Several provisions will retroactively affect the 2025 tax year, thus impacting millions of taxpayers and requiring the IRS to quickly update tax year 2025 tax forms and programming for the 2026 filing season,” the report said.

Specifically, the House bill retroactively prohibits the IRS from allowing or making payment of Employee Retention Credit claims filed after Jan. 31, 2024.

The report also said the IRS historically receives more calls in years following significant changes in tax law, so it may need additional employees and improved digital tools to maintain its level of service.

Identity theft cases are still piling up

The IRS is dealing with delays in resolving self-reported identity theft victim assistance cases — taking up to 20 months to resolve, the report said.

As of the end of the 2025 filing season, the IRS was handling about 387,000 of these cases.

That is a slight improvement from the more than 22 months it took to resolve identity theft cases, as noted in last year’s report, which outlined roughly 500,000 unresolved cases in its inventory.

“The cycle time remains unacceptably long,” Collins said. “I continue to urge the agency to focus on dramatically shortening the time it takes” to resolved identity theft cases, “so it does not force victims, particularly those dependent on their tax refunds, to wait nearly two years to receive their money.”

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IRS 员工流失 税收 报税季
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