Fortune | FORTUNE 06月24日 16:09
TV and movies are so expensive to produce not even AI will make a significant financial difference—and the streaming wars are to blame
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随着人工智能的快速发展,其在影视行业的应用日益受到关注。本文探讨了AI在影视制作中的潜力与局限,指出虽然AI能够提高效率,但高昂的内容制作成本,尤其是流媒体平台的竞争,是行业面临的主要挑战。文章采访了多位行业专家,分析了AI在特效、配音等方面的应用,以及其对内容成本的影响。同时,也提到了好莱坞编剧对AI使用的担忧,以及AI在影视制作中仍面临的诸多限制。

🎬 AI在影视制作中的应用日益广泛,例如用于声音处理、视觉特效等方面。在2024年的奥斯卡颁奖典礼上,已有影片通过AI技术进行声音处理,甚至有演员凭借AI优化的口音获得了奖项。

💰 影视行业的内容制作成本居高不下,特别是流媒体平台的竞争导致IP购买、人才聘用以及制作规模的成本急剧增加。例如,《指环王》、《城堡》和《怪奇物语》等剧集的单集制作成本已超过许多电影的成本。

✍️ 好莱坞编剧对AI的使用持谨慎态度,2023年超过11000名编剧因担忧AI在行业中的应用而进行了罢工。目前,AI在影视制作中仍被视为一种工具,类似于CGI技术,尚未完全取代传统制作流程。

📉 尽管AI能提高效率,但其在影视制作中的应用仍受限。专家认为,AI在视觉和音频效果方面有所帮助,但距离完全取代电影制作还有很长的路要走。流媒体平台在内容上的巨额投资,使得即使是苹果公司也面临着每年超过10亿美元的亏损。

As artificial intelligence grows more sophisticated every day, its use cases are becoming innumerable. And with Google’s new video-generation tool Veo, content creation could get easier and more accessible than ever. 

But despite the potency of new AI-powered video and content generation tools, film and television experts aren’t holding their breath the technology will completely upend the industry. While AI can increase efficiencies for television and film producers, content creation in this industry has grown incredibly expensive thanks to streaming wars—and even AI can’t fix that. 

“Content’s squeezed right now, and it takes a lot of money to create great content. If you’re doing traditional film- and TV-length content at a high production value, it’s expensive, it’s getting more expensive,” Kevin Mayer, a former Disney executive, told Yahoo Finance’s “Opening Bid” podcast last week. “You can’t really depend on AI too much.”

The reason the cost of content has risen so dramatically is the streaming wars—the battle between Netflix, Amazon, Apple TV, Disney, Warner Bros. Discovery, and more—according to Jennifer Turner, a former executive vice president of TriStar Television for Sony Pictures Television.

During her time there, she managed the development and production of new premium television series for cable and streaming platforms. Over her career, she worked on hit shows like Grey’s Anatomy, Desperate Housewives, Lost, Friday Night Lights, and The Good Doctor. 

“The cost of acquiring [intellectual property], attaching talent, and the scope and scale of productions increased dramatically in service of streamers’ goal of acquiring customers,” Turner told Fortune. “It was a growth strategy. Now the focus is on profitability.”

Rob Rosenberg, former executive vice president and general counsel of Showtime Networks (a Paramount subsidiary), explained that when some of the streamers came online, they overpaid for projects to win in competitive bidding situations. This resulted in them sometimes paying 10 times the amount they could have paid to win the project. 

“When a single episode of series like Lord of the Rings, Citadel, and Stranger Things started costing more than many feature films, someone should have pumped the brakes, called for a time out and reassessed whether these costs could ever deliver a [return-on-investment] that justified them,” Rosenberg said. For example, one episode of Stranger Things cost $30 million, The Wall Street Journal reported in 2022. 

Yet, streaming giants like Apple keep pouring money into content knowing they could still “lose” the battle. According to a recent report from The Information, Apple has lost more than $1 billion per year by spending over $5 billion on streaming since its 2019 launch.

How AI helps film and television production, up to a point

AI has already made its mark on the television and film industry—and even indirectly received a few Oscar nominations this year. Emilia Perez and The Brutalist both used AI to alter voices, and Adrian Brody won the Academy Award for best actor even though AI perfected his Hungarian accent. The tech has also been used to reverse-age Tom Hanks and Harrison Ford, according to a BBC report. 

Although AI can be used for visual and audio effects in television and film, the technology is still limited, Turner said. 

“We are a ways off from AI fully replacing feature-length films,” she said.

Meanwhile, the use of AI in film and television production has been a contentious issue recently, with more than 11,000 Hollywood film and TV screenwriters going on strike in 2023 against the use of the technology in their industry. 

Rosenberg emphasizes that at this point, AI is still just another tool that’s used for developing content—like CGI. 

“The industry is counting on the promise of efficiencies from AI streamlining workflows and automating labor-intensive tasks, but they haven’t yet generated proofs of concept that would cause everyone to dive in,” he said. 

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人工智能 影视制作 流媒体 内容成本
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