taiyangnews 06月23日 22:50
Batteries Can Unlock '24/365 Solar Generation', Says Ember
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Ember的一份新报告显示,由于电池价格的下降,太阳能发电在世界上阳光最充足的地区,几乎可以实现全天候的成本竞争。这种'24/365太阳能发电'在一些地区已经比煤炭或核电更便宜。报告指出,结合太阳能电池板和电池储能,现在可以在全球阳光最充足的地区,几乎每天每小时都提供具有成本竞争力的电力。实现至少90%甚至高达97%的24/365太阳能发电,现在的成本约为每兆瓦时100美元,比一年前降低了22%。相比之下,许多地区的煤炭的平准化电力成本(LCOE)为每兆瓦时118美元,核电约为每兆瓦时182美元。

💡太阳能+储能的成本优势:Ember的研究表明,在阳光充足的地区,结合太阳能电池板和电池储能,可以实现几乎全天候的成本竞争性电力供应。这种模式的成本已经低于煤炭和核电。

💰电池价格的显著下降:2024年电池技术价格下降了约40%,全套电池系统的价格达到创纪录的每千瓦时165美元(不包括EPC和电网连接成本)。沙特阿拉伯2025年的拍卖结果显示,价格进一步下降至每千瓦时72美元。

☀️不同地区的发电潜力:报告指出,在拉斯维加斯这样的阳光充足的城市,使用5千瓦的固定太阳能电池板和17千瓦时的电池,可以实现24小时稳定供电。而阿曼的马斯喀特可以使用6吉瓦的太阳能电池板和17吉瓦时的电池,实现99%的持续太阳能供应。即使在阴天较多的城市,如伯明翰,也能实现62%的24/7供电。

🌍清洁能源转型之路:Ember认为,虽然这种模式可能无法解决电网层面的所有挑战(因为并非所有地方都阳光充足,且电力需求随时间和季节变化),但它为太阳能成为阳光充足地区清洁能源系统的主干,并在阳光较少地区发挥更大作用提供了途径。

Battery prices have now become cheap enough to allow solar energy to deliver cost-competitive electricity nearly round-the-clock in the world’s sunniest regions, claims a new Ember report. This ‘24/365 solar generation’ is already cheaper than coal or nuclear power in several parts of the world. 

Global energy think tank Ember finds that combining solar panels with battery storage can now deliver cost-competitive electricity nearly every hour of the year in the world’s sunniest regions. Achieving at least 90% and up to 97% of the way to constant 24/365 solar generation is now possible at around $100/MWh, 22% less than a year ago. In comparison, the global levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) for coal stands at $118/MWh in many regions, and for nuclear it is around $182/MWh. 

Battery technology prices fell around 40% in 2024, reaching a record $165/kWh for a full battery system, minus EPC and grid connection costs. Recent auction results in Saudi Arabia in 2025 show that the prices have fallen further to $72/kWh, according to the report writers. 

As per the report, with an emphatic title Solar electricity every hour of every day is here and it changes everything, Ember explains that 1 kW of stable power can be achieved across 24 hours of an average day in sunny Las Vegas with 5 kW of fixed solar panels and a 17 kWh battery. 

Oman’s Muscat can reach 99% of the way to a constant solar energy supply using 6 GW of solar panels and a 17 GWh battery. On the other hand, cloudier cities like Birmingham can get 62% of the way to a constant 24x7 supply. 

“While this may not solve every challenge at the grid level, since not all places are as sunny and the electricity demand varies hourly and seasonally, it provides a pathway for solar to become the backbone of a clean power system in sunny regions and to play a much bigger role in less sunny regions,” opines Ember.  

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太阳能 储能 电池价格 清洁能源
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