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5 charts show why Gen Z college grads are hitting the job market at the worst possible time
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Z世代毕业生正面临一个充满挑战的就业市场。经济不确定性、人工智能的发展以及公司招聘的谨慎态度,都加剧了就业的难度。许多年轻人对大学学位的投资回报率产生质疑,转而考虑蓝领工作。文章分析了毕业生失业率上升、职位空缺减少、小企业招聘放缓等问题,并指出,尽管如此,一些地区如旧金山湾区和硅谷的招聘形势依然强劲,且毕业生工资也在增长。 面对严峻的就业形势,文章建议毕业生保持开放心态,迎接意想不到的机会。

🎓 毕业生失业率飙升:与整体劳动力市场相比,22至27岁大学毕业生的失业率近年来显著上升。这种现象与历史趋势相反,表明拥有学位的年轻人就业形势严峻。

📉 职位空缺减少: 劳动力市场的职位空缺数量正在下降,从2022年3月的1200万降至2024年4月的700万。同时,员工的离职率也在下降,导致就业机会减少。

🏢 小企业招聘放缓:小型和中型企业对20至24岁年轻人的招聘率有所下降。这一下降趋势始于疫情前,并持续至今,表明毕业生面临的就业竞争更加激烈。

💡 职业选择多元化: 越来越多的毕业生开始考虑不需要大学学位的职业,例如技术工人。 这种转变反映了年轻人对传统白领工作前景的担忧,以及对蓝领职业稳定性的认可。

Gen Z grads have a rising unemployment rate.

It's grad season, and Gen Z job seekers are feeling desperate.

Zoomers are staring down a tough hiring market: Economic uncertainty has contributed to employees' wariness to quit and companies' hesitancy to hire. Artificial intelligence is disrupting the entry-level rung of the career ladder in industries like tech. Recent graduates have told Business Insider that they're frustrated by hundreds of rejected applications and being ghosted by prospective employers. Some are settling for whatever work they can find.

It's long been typical for 20-somethings to have a higher unemployment rate than the general population, and the overall US unemployment rate is still relatively low. One relatively new development, however, is that young people with college degrees are being hit hard by the economic slowdown — especially if they're hoping to land a role in traditionally white-collar fields. Many Gen Zers are losing faith in the ROI of higher education and are turning toward blue-collar opportunities.

The following five charts illustrate the tough job market for recent graduates.

More people are graduating with a bachelor's degree than in the past

Even as the cost of higher education has risen, more people are getting a bachelor's degree at US schools, which means more qualified competition for the available jobs. The National Center for Education Statistics showed there were almost 2 million bachelor's degrees conferred in the 2022-2023 academic year, up from 1.8 million a decade ago.

"We are used to thinking about college as being a meal ticket to economic opportunity," said Guy Berger, the workforce economist in residence at Guild and senior fellow at the Burning Glass Institute. Still, he added that having a degree could bring less of a premium in the job market because there are more college graduates than in the past.

Unemployment rates have spiked for recent grads

The unemployment rate for recent college graduates ages 22 to 27 has soared compared to unemployment for all workers ages 16 to 65 in recent years. This is a new trend: young people with degrees have historically almost always been more likely to be employed than the rest of the labor force.

The unemployment rate gap between the total workforce and recent grads was historically wide this spring, meaning that the job market for 20-somethings with degrees is among the worst the cohort has seen in at least four decades. Those who studied anthropology, physics, or computer engineering had the highest unemployment rates in 2023, per the Federal Reserve Bank of New York's analysis of Census Bureau data.

Quit rates have fallen — and so have job openings

The pool of jobs available for Gen Z — and the workforce as a whole — to apply for has shrunk. Job openings have cooled from 12 million in March 2022 to 7 million this past April. In what's been dubbed the Big Stay, current employees are holding on to their seats as well, with the monthly quit rate falling from 3% in March 2022 to 2% this past April.

Cory Stahle, an economist at the Indeed Hiring Lab, said college and high school graduates are entering a job market where people are holding onto their jobs and companies aren't cutting roles or hiring new employees.

"The labor market is frozen, these seats are not necessarily opening up for these workers, and that is disproportionately impacting these younger workers," Stahle said.

Small and midsize businesses aren't hiring as many recent grads

Gusto, a payroll and benefits platform for small- and medium-sized businesses, found the rate of primarily white-collar hires aged 20 to 24 at small and midsize employers has fallen from pre-pandemic levels, declining from 9.4% in May 2019 to 2.7% this past March.

Still, Aaron Terrazas, an economist at Gusto, said there are US cities where new grad hiring looks strong, including in the San Francisco Bay Area and Silicon Valley. Plus, he said wage growth is accelerating for graduates.

"We all come out of school with grand ambitions and thinking our plan is set," Terrazas said. "Being open to unexpected opportunities is particularly important in an economy like the present."

More grads are turning to jobs that typically don't require a college degree

Even if new graduates have a job, they may be working in a role that doesn't typically require a college degree. While this figure fluctuates over time, the share of 20-somethings who have jobs they're overeducated for is rising in 2025. It coincides with the generation's pivot toward skilled-trades roles such as electricians or plumbers.

Many young people are seeing these opportunities as a safer bet compared to a corporate world hit by layoff waves and hiring freezes. Construction laborers, electricians, and truck drivers are projected to grow faster than the average job-growth rate of 4% from 2023 to 2033, per the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Are you a Gen Zer open to sharing your job search experience? Reach out to these reporters at allisonkelly@businessinsider.com and mhoff@businessinsider.com.

Read the original article on Business Insider

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Z世代 就业市场 失业率 大学毕业生 职业选择
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