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Ember: Turkey Can Unlock 8 GW Solar With Hybrid Plants
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根据能源智库Ember的一份新报告,土耳其可以通过部署混合系统(在现有的私有风电和水电厂中增加太阳能)来安装8吉瓦的太阳能光伏装机容量。这种方法可以绕过电网限制,这是该国扩大可再生能源规模的主要障碍。截至2025年5月底,土耳其的太阳能总装机容量为22.5吉瓦,其中包括1.4吉瓦的混合太阳能项目。政府的目标是到2035年将其太阳能和风能总装机容量增加到120吉瓦。报告指出,通过与现有风电和水电设施使用相同的输电线路,可以为8吉瓦的新太阳能容量铺平道路。

💡 土耳其可以通过混合系统增加太阳能发电量。Ember的报告显示,通过在现有风电和水电厂中增加太阳能,土耳其可以安装8吉瓦的太阳能光伏装机容量,从而绕过电网限制。

⚡️ 混合太阳能项目可有效提高发电效率。报告分析,2024年,土耳其的25个混合太阳能电站使其连接的风电和水电站的输出提高了14%,将主要来源的平均容量因子提高了5个百分点,达到32%。

💧 混合系统有助于应对干旱导致的水电发电量下降。通过增加太阳能发电,可以部分抵消因干旱导致的水力发电量下降,同时保持现有电网基础设施的效率。

🚧 电网连接问题是阻碍可再生能源发展的关键。报告指出,土耳其在2024年2月至2025年4月期间拒绝了65%的未授权太阳能电站的电网连接申请。

✅ 政策调整对于释放混合太阳能潜力至关重要。Ember的分析师认为,通过简单的监管变更,如强制整合到主电源的电站现场,以及取消容量限制规则,土耳其可以迅速释放其巨大的混合太阳能潜力。

Turkey has the potential to install 8 GW of solar PV capacity by deploying hybrid systems – adding solar to existing privately-owned wind and hydroelectric plants – according to a new report by energy think tank Ember. With this approach, it can ‘bypass’ grid constraints, which remain a key obstacle in scaling up renewable energy in the country.  

It would also increase the country’s current solar installed capacity by at least 35% to exceed 30 GW, making it the largest energy source in Turkey by installed capacity, claims Ember. 

At the end of May 2025, Turkey’s total installed solar capacity stood at 22.5 GW, comprising 1.4 GW of hybrid solar projects, according to the Ember report. The government aims to grow its total installed solar and wind energy capacity to 120 GW by 2035 (see Turkey Targets 120 GW Wind & Solar Power Capacity By 2035).   

Its latest analysis shows that between February 2024 and April 2025, the country rejected 65% of grid-connection applications for unlicensed solar power plants at the transmission level.

Since September 2024, no capacity has been available for transmission-level grid connections in Turkey, while only 0.52 GW was available for distribution-level connections for unlicensed power plants as of May 2025.  

In such a scenario, going hybrid by using the same transmission lines as existing wind and hydropower facilities, can make way for 8 GW of new solar capacity.

Nearly 46% of this potential hybrid solar capacity exists at dammed hydroelectric power plants, which is beyond the floating solar potential of 53 GW at Turkey’s ‘dam-type’ hydro power plants, according to the State Hydraulic Works.

The addition of solar power plants can also help offset the decline in hydropower generation due to droughts while maintaining the efficiency of the existing grid infrastructure.

Ember offers this recommendation based on the performance of existing hybrid projects. It explains that in 2024, Turkey’s 25 hybrid solar power plants boosted the output of their connected wind and hydro plants by 14%, raising the average capacity factor of the primary sources by 5 percentage points to 32%.

Analysts claim that if the 8 GW hybrid solar potential had been installed in 2024, wind and solar would have become Turkey’s 2nd largest source of electricity generation. 

While the prospects are promising, the report writers want the immediate challenges to be addressed by the policymakers. 

“We believe that the elimination of the capacity allocation problem in most of the applications for hybrid solar power plants, which are almost the only solution to drought in HEPP projects, is a necessity to protect the generation capacity of HEPPs and system supply security,” stated Elvan Tuğsuz Güven, chairman of the board at HESİAD, the country’s hydropower plants industry association.  

Additionally ‍Energy Analyst at Ember, Çağlar Çeliköz states, “Since hybrid solar power plants do not require new grid investment, they can be approved without waiting for capacity opening; with simple regulatory changes, such as the obligation to integrate into the plant site of the primary source and the removal of the capacity limit rule, Türkiye could quickly unlock its significant hybrid solar potential.”  

The complete assessment by Ember is available on its website.  

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土耳其 太阳能 混合系统 可再生能源 电网
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