Fortune | FORTUNE 06月20日 17:44
AI is more likely to create a generation of ‘yes-men on servers’ than any scientific breakthroughs, Hugging Face co-founder says
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Hugging Face的首席科学家Thomas Wolf认为,当前的AI系统不太可能取得一些顶尖实验室所期望的科学发现。他指出,大型语言模型(LLMs)擅长找到问题的答案,但在提出正确的问题方面却表现不足,而这才是真正科学进步中更复杂的部分。Wolf通过阅读Anthropic首席执行官Dario Amodei的博客文章后得出结论,他认为AI无法挑战现有知识框架,AI模型倾向于预测最可能的结果,而非产生原创性思考。他认为,科学上的重大突破更需要提出独创性问题,而非仅仅是找到答案。

🤔 Wolf认为,AI在科学发现方面的主要限制在于其提问能力。他指出,真正的科学进步在于提出正确的问题,而AI在这方面表现不足。

💡 Wolf通过阅读Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei的文章后,对AI加速科学发展的乐观观点产生了怀疑。他认为AI难以挑战现有的知识框架,无法进行原创性思考。

🧐 Wolf解释说,AI模型倾向于预测最可能的结果,而不是创造出最有趣或最具突破性的东西。他用围棋为例,强调了提出原创问题的重要性,这类似于发明围棋游戏本身。

👨‍🏫 Wolf在他的博客文章《爱因斯坦AI模型》中提出,我们需要的是能够提出前所未有问题的AI系统,而非仅仅是知道所有答案的系统。他认为目前的AI更像是“服务器上的应声虫”,缺乏挑战假设和重新思考基本概念的能力。

Hugging Face’s top scientist, Thomas Wolf, says current AI systems are unlikely to make the scientific discoveries some leading labs are hoping for.

Speaking to Fortune at Viva Technology in Paris, the Hugging Face co-founder said that while large language models (LLMs) have shown an impressive ability to find answers to questions, they fall short when trying to ask the right ones—something Wolf sees as the more complex part of true scientific progress.

“In science, asking the question is the hard part, it’s not finding the answer,” Wolf said. “Once the question is asked, often the answer is quite obvious, but the tough part is really asking the question, and models are very bad at asking great questions.”

Wolf said he came to the conclusion after reading a widely circulated blog post by Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei called Machines of Loving Grace. In it, Amodei argues the world is about to see the 21st century “compressed” into a few years as AI accelerates science drastically.

Wolf said he initially found the piece inspiring but started to doubt Amodei’s idealistic vision of the future after the second read.

“It was saying AI is going to solve cancer and it’s going to solve mental health problems — it’s going to even bring peace into the world, but then I read it again and realized there’s something that sounds very wrong about it, and I don’t believe that,” he said.

For Wolf, the problem isn’t that AI lacks knowledge but that it lacks the ability to challenge our existing frame of knowledge. AI models are trained to predict likely continuations, for example, the next word in a sentence, and while today’s models excel at mimicking human reasoning, they fall short of any real original thinking.

“Models are just trying to predict the most likely thing,” Wolf explained. “But in almost all big cases of discovery or art, it’s not really the most likely art piece you want to see, but it’s the most interesting one.”

Using the example of the game of Go, a board game that became a milestone in AI history when DeepMind’s AlphaGo defeated world champions in 2016, Wolf argued that while mastering the rules of Go is impressive, the bigger challenge lies in inventing such a complex game in the first place. In science, he said, the equivalent of inventing the game is asking these truly original questions.

Wolf first suggested this idea in a blog post titled The Einstein AI Model, published earlier this year. In it, he wrote: “To create an Einstein in a data center, we don’t just need a system that knows all the answers, but rather one that can ask questions nobody else has thought of or dared to ask.”

He argues that what we have instead are models that behave like “yes-men on servers”—endlessly agreeable, but unlikely to challenge assumptions or rethink foundational ideas.

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