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Workers who stayed put are finally starting to see their efforts pay off
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本文聚焦职场趋势,探讨了坚守岗位的员工开始获得回报,而年轻一代面临的挑战。文章指出,长期以来跳槽者受益的局面正在改变,忠诚的员工开始占据优势。与此同时,由于人工智能和预算削减等因素,Z世代在就业市场上遭遇困境。文章还涉及市场、科技和商业领域的三个关键观察点,为读者提供了全面的视角。

📈 职场忠诚度正在获得回报:文章指出,自2月份以来,长期留在同一岗位的员工的工资增长开始超过跳槽者的增长。虽然差距不大,但扭转了2022年7月跳槽者工资增长大幅领先的局面。

🤖 Z世代面临的独特挑战:人工智能在处理入门级工作方面变得越来越有效,而政府工作由于预算削减也失去了吸引力。这使得Z世代在就业市场上处境艰难,尤其考虑到他们曾受益于1990年代以来最好的劳动力市场条件。

💡 市场、科技和商业的三个关键观察点:文章还提到了市场对30年期政府债券的需求、顶级经济专家对美国债务危机的担忧,以及Jamie Dimon对私募股权公司招聘行为的影响;科技方面,AI人才的激烈竞争、数字面部纹身和AI编码工具对SaaS商业模式的冲击;商业方面,对求职者的建议、戛纳狮子广告节以及私募股权公司在新兴健康科技领域的投资。

Welcome back! A programming note: This will be my last week at the helm of the newsletter for a bit. Next week I start the second half of my paternity leave. Luckily for you, my fantastic colleague Hallam Bullock is back to run the show. Just don't mind the Britishisms.

In today's big story, workers who stuck with their employer are finally seeing the benefit of their loyalty. Meanwhile, one generation is getting left out in the cold.

What's on deck

Markets: Does private equity's recruiting pivot solidify Jamie Dimon's place as the most powerful man on Wall Street?

Tech: Recruiters told us the most sought-after qualities they're looking for when hunting AI researchers and engineers.

Business: Some advice for switching up your job search if you feel it's stalling out.

But first, I'm sticking around.


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The big story

You should stay and not go

Patience and loyalty are tough to come by in the workplace, but workers who stayed put are finally starting to see their efforts pay off.

After years of job hoppers being rewarded for their mercenary approach to work, the employees willing to stick around are starting to come out on top, writes BI's Juliana Kaplan and Madison Hoff.

An analysis by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta shows that year-over-year median wage growth for job stayers has been outpacing growth for job switchers since February. It's the first time that's happened for a sustained period since 2009.

Granted, the difference between the two sides isn't massive (4.3% growth for job stayers versus 4.1% growth for job switchers). But keep in mind the massive lead job hoppers once had.

In July 2022, job switchers enjoyed 8.5% in wage growth while those staying put experienced 5.9% growth.

The flip-flop is also another example of how economic uncertainty affects the labor market. With so many question marks giving companies pause, shelling out big for new hires isn't high on the priority list.

One group is feeling pretty raw about the state of things in the job market: Gen Z.

The workforce's youngest generation finds the current job environment particularly challenging, writes BI's Allie Kelly.

Beyond what I've mentioned, several factors have specifically put Gen Z in a tough spot.

Artificial intelligence is starting to prove sufficient at handling the type of responsibilities found in entry-level jobs. Government work, once viewed as a stable alternative to the volatile private sector, isn't promising due to the ongoing budget cuts.

It's a stark reality, especially considering how quickly the tides have turned. It wasn't too long ago that Gen Z was leading the job-hopping charge.

Until this year, Gen Z was entering a labor market that had the best conditions for young workers since the 1990s, writes Allie.

In many ways, a brutal job market can be a rite of passage for a young worker. From boomers' stagflation to millennials' 2008 financial crisis, an economic slump can serve as battle scars that generations eventually proudly show off. When I was entering the job market, things were BAD!

But while many of the past economic issues were solvable, some of the current issues (the impact of AI, specifically) seem likely to upend the fundamental way the economy works.

And how Gen Z fits in after that remains to be seen.


3 things in markets

1. A YOLO stock bet and a frugal lifestyle. Corey Forsythe is 35 years old, and he's already reached Coast FIRE status. That means he's saved enough for retirement and can now let his investments grow independently. From "living like a college student" to a risky investment, here's how Forsythe did it.

2. Top economic experts are sounding the alarm. The Treasury Department saw solid demand for its auction of 30-year government bonds, soothing investors' concerns. But Ray Dalio, Ken Rogoff, and Niall Ferguson told Goldman Sachs they're still concerned about an impending US debt crisis. Here's what they said.

3. When Jamie Dimon spoke, private equity listened. Early last week, the JPMorgan CEO blasted the practice of PE firms hiring junior bankers for future-dated jobs. Days later, buyout shops Apollo Global Management and General Atlantic announced they'd stop the recruiting practice this year. Here's why they took Dimon's warnings to heart.


3 things in tech

1. The AI hiring scramble is on. AI researchers and engineers are some of the hottest roles across industries right now, and companies are fighting for the best talent. For those who have an advanced degree, years of experience, and soft skills, recruiters and headhunters told BI it's a dream come true.

2. The next wearable tech? Digital face tattoos. That's the goal for researchers at the University of Texas at Austin, where they're developing an electronic "tattoo" that measures mental stress. It's meant for workers with high-risk jobs like air traffic controllers.

3. AI coding tools are disrupting the "build-versus-buy" equation. Bolt, Replit, and Cursor are some tools threatening the SaaS business model. While building enterprise software in-house was once considered expensive, it's now easier than ever to DIY, writes BI's Alistair Barr.


3 things in business

Carolina Wilson, with the United States Postal Service, left, talks with prospective job applicants at a job fair, August 29, 2024, in Sunrise, Florida

1. Some advice for frustrated job seekers. Labor-market conditions have you pulling your hair out? It might be time to switch up the types of roles you're going after or talk with friends about how to recalibrate your job search. Here are some of the best ways to do it.

2. All eyes are on the biggest advertising event of the year. Madison Avenue's heading to the south of France for the Cannes Lions ad festival. Agency consolidation, high-profile executive departures, and artificial intelligence (of course) are all top of mind.

3. A $55 billion PE firm has become healthtech's saving grace. New Mountain Capital is making a name for itself among VCs for big bets in the space, multiple investors and bankers told BI. It's a welcome change for an industry where IPOs and acquisitions have been tough to come by.


In other news


What's happening today


The Insider Today team: Dan DeFrancesco, deputy editor and anchor, in New York. Lisa Ryan, executive editor, in New York. Hallam Bullock, senior editor, in London. Grace Lett, editor, in Chicago. Akin Oyedele, deputy editor, in New York. Amanda Yen, associate editor, in New York. Ella Hopkins, associate editor, in London. Elizabeth Casolo, fellow, in Chicago.

Read the original article on Business Insider

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职场趋势 Z世代 人工智能 忠诚度 经济
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