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Relocation triggers
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文章探讨了在乌克兰使用核武器或出现类似 COVID-19 但更致命的疾病等灾难性事件发生时,个人应如何应对。文章强调,虽然社区努力降低灾难发生的可能性,但风险依然存在。对于有条件的人来说,考虑到搬迁可能是一个选择,这既可以出于个人安全考虑,也可以是利他主义行为,例如从事灾后重建工作。文章建议提前思考应对方案,并推荐了 Sentinel 的资源,包括触发事件列表和紧急邮件列表。文章还提到了选择避难地点时的一些考虑因素,例如选择受核冬天影响较小或更抗疫的地区,并提到了在新西兰远程工作的可能性。

☢️ 考虑到潜在灾难风险,例如核武器的使用或高传染性致命疾病的爆发,文章建议读者预先规划应对措施。

🌍 对于有条件的人来说,搬迁可能是一种选择。这既可以出于个人安全考虑,也可以是利他主义行为,例如从事灾后重建工作。

💡 文章推荐了 Sentinel 提供的资源,包括触发事件列表和紧急邮件列表,以帮助读者及时获取信息并采取行动。

🏝️ 在选择避难地点时,文章建议考虑受核冬天影响较小或更抗疫的地区,例如南半球国家和岛屿。同时,文章也提到了在新西兰等国家远程工作的可能性。

Published on June 14, 2025 6:36 AM GMT

What would you do if a nuclear weapon were used in Ukraine? What about if there were evidence of a disease as transmissible as COVID-19 but more fatal, potentially enabled by AI

While our community aims to reduce the chances of catastrophe, we may not always succeed. If the risk becomes very high in your location you might consider the possibility of relocating. Most people don’t have the luxury to consider moving, but many EA Forum readers do. For most people relocating, it will be a personal decision to increase the safety of themselves and their loved ones. But in some cases, this could be an altruistic decision, for example if your work is likely to be valuable post-catastrophe by helping to rebuild or mitigate further harm. 

We think it's a good idea to think through what you would do ahead of time so that you can act quickly. Sentinel has put together a number of different potential triggers. It also has a fantastic weekly newsletter mailing list that will be sent as an emergency message if there is a particularly concerning trigger (sign up here - you may also be interested in applying to join their emergency response team). Of course it's going to depend on your particular circumstances, but you may want to move out of a high risk city or country.[1] If you’re able to travel far, you might consider Southern Hemisphere locations that are more likely to be resilient to nuclear winter and islands that are more resistant to pandemics. There may be more temporary or permanent immigration options than you realise, for example, it has recently become easier to work remotely in New Zealand. If the risk level drops with no catastrophe, as we all hope it will, you could return to your original location. This would mean some people relocating could end up reflecting on this time as more like a working holiday. 

  1. ^

    For nuclear, depending on the trigger, this could include nuclear weapon states plus the rest of NATO.



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灾难应对 核武器 疫情 搬迁 风险管理
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