少点错误 06月11日 12:45
More on policy arguments and the AB problem
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本文深入探讨了论辩中常出现的“AB问题”,即人们误解对方立场的情况。作者区分了“X作为政策”与“X作为现象”等概念,并进一步细化了“X作为目的(现象)”、“X作为目的(政策)”、“X作为手段”和“X作为有益结果”等不同含义,揭示了这些混淆如何导致误解。文章还讨论了在不同语境下理解他人立场的重要性,以及澄清立场对于有效沟通的关键作用。

💡 区分“X作为目的(现象)”、“X作为目的(政策)”、“X作为手段”和“X作为有益结果”。人们经常混淆这些概念,导致对他人立场的误解,例如将政策与其实际效果混为一谈,或者忽略了政策在不同情境下的适用性。

🤔 “X作为目的(现象)”指的是人们为了实现某个目标而支持X,不考虑实现目标的具体手段;而“X作为目的(政策)”则是指人们认为X本身是正确的,即使环境变化,其效果不再相同,仍然坚持X。

🧐 “X作为手段”意味着X是实现目标的当前最佳策略,但如果环境变化,策略也会随之调整;“X作为有益结果”指的是X是人们支持的政策的积极结果,但并非核心关注点。

🌍 在讨论他人立场时,需要区分“在当前世界”和“在所有可能的世界”中对X的支持。这有助于理解对方是否真正支持X本身,还是仅仅支持X带来的结果。

⚖️ 区分“对X中立”和“反对X”:中立于X往往会导致X的减少,因为在资源有限的世界中,未被优化的事物往往会被优化掉。明确区分立场有助于避免不必要的误解。

Published on June 11, 2025 4:42 AM GMT

This is a followup to this earlier post, which I realized today didn't quite cover everything I wanted to.

To recap, the AB problem (note: I don't know who coined this name, does anyone know the origin?) is a problem that arises in arguments that leads people mischaracterizing their opponent's position. If Yvonne argues for A and Xavier believes A=>B, Xavier might assert that Yvonne is arguing for B. But this is incorrect -- it's Xavier who believes A=>B; Yvonne may disagree. You'll see this mistake commonly on the internet.

In my earlier post I touched on the distinction of "X as policy" vs "X as phenomenon", and how failure to distinguish to between them causes confusion in arguments. However, there are other related distinctions, more closely related to the AB problem, that I think also cause confusion, and that I failed to explicate.

Note that some of these I might describe as you talking about your position, some I might describe as a person talking about their opponents position, but all of these are applicable to both cases!

X as ends (phenomenon) vs X as ends (policy) vs X as means vs X as beneficial effect

This is basically an elaboration of the "X as policy" vs "X as phenomenon" distinction I described in my previous post.

When arguing for a policy, people will typically invoke what they consider to be beneficial effects of that policy. And, when arguing for a desired beneficial effect, people may argue for a policy that they believe will yield it. As such, the policy and its effect may get conflated into a single position -- even by those arguing for it, for convenience. If circumstances do not change, this may be harmless. However, if circumstances change, the link between the policy and the effect may be severed, causing a split.

By "X as ends (phenomenon)", I mean essentially the same thing as "X as phenomenon", saying that X is good, independent of means of achieving it (assuming they don't have massive downsides, etc). By "X as ends (policy)", I mean, "X is my preferred policy, and I think it's fundamentally right in the sense that even if circumstances were to change significantly (so that it no longer had the same effects) but not completely unreasonably, it would still be correct". By "X as means", I mean, "X is my preferred policy right now, but if circumstances were to change, it would no longer achieve my ends, and I would prefer a different policy". And by "X as beneficial effect", I mean, "X is a good thing that would be a consequence of what I think we should do, but it's not actually fundamentally the thing to focus on".

Why do I say all this? Because people will just say "I support X" or "that person supports X" and mean any one of these, and often not even be clear on which. This is related to the AB problem because the conflation is due to an assumed A=>B lurking in the background. Better to make it explicit and be clear whether it's A or B that you fundamentally favor! Or in other words:

Of course this relates to "X as policy" vs "X as phenomenon" in that, as I described it in my last post, A is a policy and B is a phenomenon. But I think this extra distinction is helpful. I think it is most natural to speak in terms of ends, what one fundamentally favors, but as always, people often won't be clear unless you make them clarify.

X in this world vs X in any possible world (X as ends)

I think this is one that's more of one that comes up with people talking about their opponent's positions, but it's not exclusive to that case.

In my original post I talked about policy vs phenomenon, above I added a dimension, expanding it to 4 cases. Let's now collapse it back down to only that dimension.

The question then is, if I hear someone say "Yvonne supports X", and supposing that the statement is in fact true in some sense and not purely an AB error, the question becomes, does Yvonne support X in this world, or in all possible worlds? (Maybe not all possible worlds, that's a bit extreme, but something like that. X as ends.) That is to say, is X actually the thing Yvonne fundamentally supports? Or is X merely a consequence of what Yvonne supports, even if Yvonne would indeed agree it is a consequence?

(I suppose here I'm excluding the "means" case, where X is actually a particular policy to achieve what Yvonne supports, but such cases are in reality probably an AB error. Still, you can lump it in in the case where it's not.)

You can guess here what I would suggest -- namely, talking about the things people fundamentally support. As always, other people will be unclear, and you will have to make them clarify. Doing things the other way can get pretty silly -- after all, every policy has downsides, so you can always smear someone by saying "Yvonne supports [downsides of Yvonne's preferred policy]". If they acknowledge that that downside is in fact a downside, but think it's worth it anyway; or if they consider it neutral; that's a misleading way to speak! If of course they consider it an upside it's less of a problem, but...

Speaking of neutrality, let me mention one particular variant of this...

Neutral on X vs opposed to X

One particular variant that comes up a bunch is people saying that someone is "anti-X" when they're actually just neutral on X. Thing is, being neutral on X in terms of your fundamental preferences, tends to lead to a reduction in X in terms of effect, because in a world of limited resources, anything not optimized for is optimized away. Still, there's a real difference between merely optimizing something away, and truly optimizing against it.



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AB问题 论辩 立场 误解 沟通
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