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本文探讨了向公众有效沟通人工智能风险的几个关键原则。文章强调了避免使用专业术语、善用简短有力的表达方式、提供具体案例、注重准确性、关注人工智能能力的快速发展、应对质疑以及采取预防措施的重要性。作者建议在沟通中灵活运用这些原则,并鼓励读者不断探索更有效的沟通方式,以提高公众对AI风险的认知和警惕。

🗣️ **避免专业术语:** 与公众沟通时,应尽量避免使用专业术语,或在使用时立即给出简洁明了的定义,确保公众能够理解。

📢 **重视短语传播:** 预见内容会被分解成短小片段传播,因此要确保每个论点都能独立成立,并尝试在论点后立即加入补充说明。

💡 **提供具体案例:** 与其陷入无休止的科幻推演,不如强调AI对现有基础设施的影响,以及其一旦渗透后难以关闭的特性。同时,关注公众已知的风险,例如AI在实验室制造的潜在风险。

🎯 **注重准确性:** 在向非专业人士传达技术信息时,传达大方向比追求完美准确更重要,例如,在讨论地球形状时,简洁地说明“地球是圆的”即可。

📈 **关注能力增长:** 持续分享AI在特定领域能力快速增长的例子,特别是那些具有视觉冲击力的例子,以提高公众对AI发展的认知,同时也要分享AI欺骗和误用的例子。

🛡️ **应对质疑:** 承认并回应关于AI风险的质疑,例如关于大型科技公司试图夸大AI能力以获取投资的说法。强调无论谁拥有超级智能,都无法控制它,所有人都面临同样的风险。

⚠️ **采取预防原则:** 强调AI公司在向公众推出产品之前,应证明其产品的安全性,而不是要求证明AI的危险性。将医学作为类比,说明在面对危险的不确定性时,预防措施的重要性。

Published on June 7, 2025 4:09 PM GMT

                  I’ve been working on a series of longer articles explaining and justifying the following principles of communicating AI risk to the general public, but in the interest of speed and brevity, I’ve decided to write a simplified guide here. Some of this will be based on articles I’ve already written and released, and some will be based on articles that are still in the works. 

                  

Principle 1- Jargon

                  It’s best to avoid jargon when communicating with the general public. Jargon is not easily accessible for non-experts, and unfamiliar words and phrases could lead to misunderstandings. However, when communicating about new technologies that are largely unprecedented, some jargon may be necessary. When you must use jargon, make sure you immediately follow the term with a simple and concise definition. Don’t stack multiple terms together into the same line, and don’t stack more jargon into your definition.

                  Be consistent with your jargon. Use the same terms consistently, until the public gets used to them. If you notice the public already seems familiar with a term, or experts are using the term often in public communication, continue to use the same term. When you are able, use catchy, memetic terms that carry some emotional weight. An example of this type of term is “the black-box problem” when discussing interpretability, because not only is “black box problem” rather catchy and descriptive, but a “black box” is already associated with frightening events such as plane crashes. 

 

Principle 2- Sound Bites

                  Anticipate that anything you produce- whether written, audio, or audio/visual- will be broken up into short-form content such as tweets or tik-tok videos. Because you can anticipate that your content will be shredded into sound bites, it’s important that you ensure each argument can stand on its own. Nuance is still important, but try to incorporate caveats into a short space following the nuance you’ve introduced. 

                  If you cannot make each argument stand on its own in just a few lines, make sure you balance this deficit with volume. Put out as much content you can, as often as you can, so that people are more likely to get a broader understanding of your arguments.

Principle 3- Examples

                  People will often want to hear examples of how, exactly, a rogue superintelligence could cause widespread destruction. These people may be skeptical if you say that you don’t know how an intelligence greater than yours will cause destruction- the chessmaster argument can feel like a copout. However, if you do give concrete examples, your audience may try to propose “patches” for any path of destruction they are given, which is not helpful because there is no end to the number of ways a superintelligence can cause destruction. Instead of getting bogged down in endless scifi projections, it’s best to emphasize how integrated present infrastructure is with the internet and how dependent on technology people already are. Point out how easily AI could affect us and the infrastructure we rely on, and how difficult it would be to shut it down once it has infiltrated these systems. 

                  If you still need to give concrete examples, focus on dangers people are already familiar with, such as AI’s potential in creating lab-grown pandemics, the potential for AI to use our weapons of war against us, AI escalating its energy usage to the detriment of our environment- or any others you can think of. Even if a superintelligence would not be limited to destructive means we are already aware of, people are less skeptical of familiar risks. 

 

Principle 4- Accuracy

                  When communicating a technical topic to a lay audience, it is far more important to get the broad idea across than to be perfectly accurate. For example- if you are arguing with a flat-earther, and they argue that the earth is not round, it is not helpful to retort that the earth is, in fact, an oblate spheroid, and then to give a detailed definition of an oblate spheroid. At this point, you will lose your audience. For the purposes of the argument, it is accurate enough to say the earth is round. 

 

Principle 5- Intelligence Saturation

                  At some point, AI will be intelligent enough to accomplish most mundane uses, and average people won’t easily perceive improvements in capabilities and intelligence. At this point, many will declare that AI development has hit a wall, even if AI continues to grow capabilities in more specialized domains. What’s worse is that capabilities growth is happening so quickly that people will still widely share “gotcha” examples of older models making mistakes that frontier models no longer make, and this will lull people into a false sense of safety. It is vital to share examples of surprising domain-specific capability growth as often as possible with the public. The more visual and visceral these examples are, the better. 

                  Some will call examples of capabilities growth “hype,” which is why it is also important to continue to share “warning shots,” or visceral examples of AI demonstrating more sophisticated deceptiveness and misalignment. 

 

Principle 6- Shills

            Some people accuse anyone arguing AI risk of being shills for big tech. (I’ve yet to see a dime.) This accusation takes one of two forms. 1- You are trying to make AI seem more capable than it is or ever could be by calling it dangerous, thereby gaining investment dollars for large AI companies. 2- You are trying to create a monopoly for the present AI companies by keeping potential competitors from trying to make anything more powerful. These are ad hominem attacks, but they must be addressed.

            People who seek power try to get dangerous things before their rivals; it’s best to emphasize that no matter which government or which company has ownership of superintelligence, no one will be able to control it. Everyone is equally in danger from AI, no matter who they are. 

            Reach out to skeptics and meet them where they are. If someone insists that AI will never become superintelligent or general, and that generative AI content is slop, then we’re on the same side. If AI is a hoax, it should be stopped, and if AI is an existential risk, it should be stopped. People often create identities around having a “side” when they agree more with their opponent than they disagree. When these artificial barriers are breached, people can work together for a greater good.

 

Principle 7- Precautionary Principle

                  Many people try to lay the burden of proof on AI risk, but the burden of proof should actually lie in the opposite direction. We should not have to prove that AI is dangerous- by the time we have our proof, it is too late. Instead, AI companies should have to prove that their product is safe before foisting it on the public. I find it helpful to use medicine as an analogy; would you take an untested drug simply because it hasn’t killed anyone yet, or would you insist that the drug be thoroughly tested before taking it? 

                  If you find yourself cornered by the burden of proof anyway, we do have many examples of current AI behaving deceptively, reward hacking, attempting to gain power, and attempting to stop itself from being shut off- all behaviors alignment researchers predicted in advance. We may not have definitive proof, but we have plenty of evidence that is sufficient in the face of dangerous uncertainty. 

 

            

Principle 0 – Kill the Buddha. 

            If any of these principles don’t work, discard them. If you have any great arguments you can use, use them. If any of the arguments or examples I gave don’t work, throw them away. This is only meant to be a general guide for people having trouble communicating AI risk. Don’t follow this guide at the expense of doing well. In fact, I want you to come up with better arguments and better principles and a better guide as soon as you can. Share that guide with everyone you know.



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