The universe’s maximum lifespan may be considerably shorter than was previously thought, but don’t worry: there’s still plenty of time to finish streaming your favourite TV series.
According to new calculations by black hole expert Heino Falcke, quantum physicist Michael Wondrak, and mathematician Walter van Suijlekom of Radboud University in the Netherlands, the most persistent stellar objects in the universe – white dwarf stars – will decay away to nothingness in around 1078 years. This, Falcke admits, is “a very long time”, but it’s a far cry from previous predictions, which suggested that white dwarfs could persist for at least 101100 years. “The ultimate end of the universe comes much sooner than expected,” he says.
Writing in the Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics, Falcke and colleagues explain that the discrepancy stems from different assumptions about how white dwarfs decay. Previous calculations of their lifetime assumed that, in the absence of proton decay (which has never been observed experimentally), their main decay process would be something called pyconuclear fusion. This form of fusion occurs when nuclei in a crystalline lattice essentially vibrate their way into becoming fused with their nearest neighbours.
If that sounds a little unlikely, that’s because it is. However, in the dense, cold cores of white dwarf stars, and over stupendously long time periods, pyconuclear fusion happens often enough to gradually (very, very gradually) turn the white dwarf’s carbon into nickel, which then transmutes into iron by emitting a positron. The resulting iron-cored stars are known as black dwarfs, and some theories predict that they will eventually (very, very eventually) collapse into black holes. Depending on how massive they were to start with, the whole process takes between 101100‒1032 000 years.
An alternative mechanism
Those estimates, however, do not take into account an alternative decay mechanism known as Hawking radiation. First proposed in the early 1970s by Stephen Hawking and Jacob Bekenstein, Hawking radiation arises from fluctuations in the vacuum of spacetime. These fluctuations allow particle-antiparticle pairs to pop into existence by essentially “borrowing” energy from the vacuum for brief periods before the pairs recombine and annihilate.
If this pair production happens in the vicinity of a black hole, one particle in the pair may stray over the black hole’s event horizon before it can recombine. This leaves its partner free to carry away some of the “borrowed” energy as Hawking radiation. After an exceptionally long time – but, crucially, not as long as the time required to disappear a white dwarf via pyconuclear fusion – Hawking radiation will therefore cause black holes to dissipate.
The fate of life, the universe and everything?
But what about objects other than black holes? Well, in a previous work published in 2023, Falcke, Wondrak and van Suijlekom showed that a similar process can occur for any object that curves spacetime with its gravitational field, not just objects that have an event horizon. This means that white dwarfs, neutron stars, the Moon and even human beings can, in principle, evaporate away into nothingness via Hawking radiation – assuming that what the trio delicately call “other astrophysical evolution and decay channels” don’t get there first.
Based on this tongue-in-cheek assumption, the trio calculated that white dwarfs will dissipate in around 1078 years, while denser objects such as black holes and neutron stars will vanish in no more than 1067 years. Less dense objects such as humans, meanwhile, could persist for as long as 1090 years – albeit only in a vast, near-featureless spacetime devoid of anything that would make life worth living, or indeed possible.
While that might sound unrealistic as well as morbid, the trio’s calculations do have a somewhat practical goal. “By asking these kinds of questions and looking at extreme cases, we want to better understand the theory,” van Suijlekom says. “Perhaps one day, we [will] unravel the mystery of Hawking radiation.”
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