Robin 和我进行了一场 2 小时的 AI 末日辩论，从 2008 年的 Hanson-Yudkowsky Foom Debate 出发，根据近期 AI 发展探讨关键论点，我认为 P(doom)约为 50%，Robin 认为 P(doom)<1%，我们试图阐明一些分歧点。

🎤我们的辩论承接了 2008 年的相关讨论，以近期 AI 发展为背景，重新审视了关键论点。我持类似 Eliezer 的观点，认为 AI 带来末日的概率 P(doom)约为 50%，而 Robin 的观点则大不相同，认为 P(doom)<1%。

🎙我的播客 Doom Debates 致力于举办关于 AI 灭绝风险这一紧迫问题的高质量辩论，欢迎各类嘉宾参与。如果你有兴趣成为其中一员，可以通过多种方式联系我。

📣如果你对该内容感兴趣，欢迎订阅并分享，以扩大其影响力。这场辩论旨在引发更多关于 AI 发展及其潜在风险的思考。

Published on July 8, 2024 9:45 PM GMT

Robin and I just had an interesting 2-hour AI doom debate. We picked up where the Hanson-Yudkowsky Foom Debate left off in 2008, revisiting key arguments in the light of recent AI advances.

My position is similar to Eliezer's: P(doom) on the order of 50%.

Robin's position remains shockingly different: P(doom) < 1%.

I think we managed to illuminate some of our cruxes of disagreement, though by no means all. Let us know your thoughts and feedback!

Where To Watch/Listen/Read

YouTube videoPodcast audioSubstack version with transcript

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