taiyangnews 04月16日 21:13
IEA PVPS: Global Solar PV Capacity Exceeds 2.2 TW
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2024年全球光伏市场持续增长,多个国家装机量超过1GW。印度以124.6 GW的累计装机容量超越日本,成为全球第三大光伏市场。然而,市场也面临挑战,如组件生产过剩导致库存积压和价格下降。尽管如此,价格在2025年第一季度开始企稳。电网拥堵和并网延迟等问题也限制了部分市场的发展。报告指出,为了应对产能过剩,全球光伏年装机量需迅速增长至1TW以上,这需要新的商业模式,如直接空气捕获和绿色氢气生产。

💡亚洲光伏市场表现各异:印度和巴基斯坦表现突出,但其他亚太市场有所放缓。印度以31.9 GW的直流装机容量位居全球第三,巴基斯坦则以17 GW的装机量跻身前四。

💰全球光伏装机量持续增长:2024年至少有34个国家安装了超过1 GW的光伏,高于2023年的29个国家。25个国家累计装机容量超过10 GW,7个国家超过40 GW。

🏭组件生产过剩导致市场波动:2023年太阳能组件产量超过需求,库存达到150 GW,2024年仍然居高不下。制造商通过降低价格来维持现金流,刺激了市场增长。2025年第一季度,由于中国行业的协同行动,价格开始企稳。

🚧电网问题成为发展障碍:电网拥堵导致并网延迟,例如美国、奥地利、日本、西班牙和丹麦等市场。各国政府正在制定应对措施,例如希腊采取的积极管理太阳能发电水平的政策,以及美国、澳大利亚、中国和西班牙正在进行的扩大规模储能的措施。

In Asia, barring India’s 31.9 GW DC, putting it on the 3rd spot globally and Pakistan’s 17 GW, placing it among the top 4, other Asia Pacific markets reported a slowdown. Australia installed 4 GW while Japan settled with 5.5 GW.  

For Pakistan, the 13th edition of the IEA PVPS report specifies that the data quality is uncertain with regard to installed volumes, but the country imported as much as 24 GW of modules in 2023 and 2024, according to the China Chamber of Commerce. Nevertheless, the report writers point out that concerns are growing about ‘grid stability and the sustainability of a system burdened by legacy infrastructure costs.’ 

In all, at least 34 countries installed more than 1 GW in 2024, up from 29 countries in 2023. The growth is also visible from the fact that 25 nations have more than 10 GW of total cumulative capacity, and 7 have over 40 GW. 

With its cumulative 124.6 GW solar PV capacity, India has overtaken Japan as the world’s 3rd largest solar PV market in terms of installed capacity. 

In 2023, solar module production exceeded demand. Inventories hit 150 GW and remained high in 2024 due to weak absorption in Europe and China. Module prices continued to decline during the last year, as manufacturers attempted to secure cash flows. This stimulated growth in various markets.  

Prices started stabilizing in Q1 2025 due to concerted action by the Chinese industry as it reduced production and upstream costs went up.  

“However, the pressure on the industry remains tremendous and solutions are quite complex: with all segments of the PV value chain in significant overcapacity, the global development of PV should accelerate rapidly to over 1 TW per year to absorb this overproduction. This is a challenge based on the current dynamics of the PV market, which could lead to massive PV developments in new business models, such as Direct Air Capture, production of green hydrogen or derivatives and more,” state the analysts. 

The report also touches upon the stumbling blocks for solar, despite its exponential growth. These include grid congestion leading to curtailment and/or longer delays for grid connection in several markets like the US, Austria, Japan, Spain and Denmark.

Some governments are developing curtailment policies to deal with the situation, which may lead to more power for distribution grid operators to actively manage solar generation levels, such as in Greece, or add or expand large-scale storage for grid stability as is being done in the US, Australia, China and Spain. 

The complete IEA PVPS report is available on its website for free download.

All leading market intelligence agencies and experts have offered a wide range of 2024 PV installations so far, from 452 GW to 599 GW (see Wide Variance In 2024 Global Solar PV Installation Numbers).  

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光伏 太阳能 市场分析 装机量 电网
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