Astral Codex Ten 04月11日
Come On, Obviously The Purpose Of A System Is Not What It Does
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这篇文章批判性地探讨了“系统的目的即其所为”(POSIWID)这一观点,指出其在实际应用中常被误用和滥用。作者通过癌症医院、乌克兰军队、英国政府和纽约公交系统的例子,阐述了系统目的与其实际行为之间的复杂关系,并质疑了简单地将系统目的等同于其结果的合理性。文章分析了这种观点的常见误用,以及在社交媒体上的传播情况,最终呼吁对POSIWID进行更深入的思考和重新定义,以避免其被用于煽动对系统的过度解读和负面情绪。

🤔 文章首先通过多个案例,如癌症医院、乌克兰军队等,说明了“系统目的即其所为”在现实中的应用并非总是成立。例如,癌症医院的目的是尽可能多地治愈病人,但实际可能只治愈了三分之二的患者。

🧐 作者接着指出,人们在使用POSIWID时,常常会选择系统最糟糕的副作用,并将其定义为系统的唯一目的。例如,警察有时会粗暴对待嫌疑人,就被解读为警察的目的是控制和恐吓民众。

😮 作者进一步分析了POSIWID在社交媒体上的传播情况,发现许多人只是简单地赞美这个观点,而没有实际应用。当有人列举具体例子时,往往是将系统的负面结果定义为系统的真实目的,并以此煽动对相关人员的仇恨。

💡 作者最后建议,如果有人想使用POSIWID,至少应该尝试一些新的表达方式,例如“没有系统在其目的上失败过”或“没有意外的后果”。这样可以更清晰地表明立场,避免误导。

(see Wikipedia: The Purpose Of A System Is What It Does)

Consider the following claims

These are obviously false.

The purpose of the a cancer hospital is to cure as many patients as possible, but curing cancer is hard, so they only manage two-thirds.

The purpose of the Ukrainian military is to win wars. But Russia also wants to win wars, and they can’t both win a war against each other, so instead they get stuck in a years-long stalemate1.

The purpose of the British government is to govern Britain. But different British people disagree on how they should be governed, and sometimes one or another faction gets more power, so the government sometimes flip-flops about what it wants.

The purpose of the New York bus system is to transport New Yorkers. The carbon emissions are an unintended side effect..

Am I being unfair here? Maybe the slogan “the purpose of a system is what it does” was never meant to apply to situations like these?

But then what was it meant to apply to? Nobody uses the phrase in cases where it’s obviously true - for example, nobody says “The purpose of a system is what it does! Therefore, you must believe that the purpose of airlines is to transport people using planes!” It’s only used for galaxy-brained claims like “The purpose of a system is what it does! The police do a bad job solving crime, therefore the purpose of the police must be to tolerate crime, no matter what you gullible starry-eyed idealists who take the police’s story at face value might think!”

Here the correct response is that the police might try to solve crime, but fail - just as the Ukrainian military tries to win wars and fails, or a cancer hospital tries to cure every patient but sometimes fails. Given that this is not just possible but in fact incredibly common, what is left of the phrase “the purpose of a system is what it does”?

Or someone might say “The police sometimes brutally beat suspects. Therefore, the purpose of the police is to control and intimidate the population by brutally beating them. You can’t claim that this is just a mistake or a side effect - the purpose of a system is what it does!”

Here the correct response is that you can absolutely claim it is an unfortunate side effect, just as emitting billions of tons of carbon dioxide is an unfortunate side effect of the New York bus system.

Maybe I’m still missing some genuinely good and useful insight that POSIWID can be used for? I searched the phrase on X/Twitter to see how people were using it in the wild…

…and by far the most common category is just people praising the phrase as a great insight, with no application in mind at all. “Did you know the purpose of a system is what it does? This is an important principle from the social sciences that everyone should be aware of!”

When people do list a specific example, it’s almost always a claim that, if you’re unhappy with any result of a system, the system must have been designed by evil people who were deliberately trying to hurt you, and so you should become really paranoid and hate everyone involved.

I had hoped that X/Twitter would show me something better than my toy examples, but honestly these are even worse. At least “cure two-thirds of cancer patients” is a pretty central and neutrally-chosen example of what a hospital does. These people are just taking the single worst and least-desired side effect of a system, then asserting that this - and not any of the much more reasonable things that the system does - must be its one true purpose.

If you feel tempted to say “the purpose of a system is what it does”, I recommend at least coming up with some novel rephrasing. How about “No system has ever failed at its purpose”? Or “There is no such thing as an unintended consequence”? At least then everyone would know where you stand!

1

In fact, since one side must lose any given two-sided non-stalemate war, you could “use” POSWID to “prove” that exactly one half of countries must have militaries whose purpose is to win wars, the other half must have militaries whose purpose is to lose wars, and (by an incredible coincidence) each two-country war always includes exactly one country from each group. Nobody knows what would happen if two countries whose militaries’ purpose was to win wars started fighting each other. Maybe God has instituted some kind of Leibnitzian pre-arranged harmony to prevent this.

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系统目的 POSIWID 社会科学 批判性思维
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