文章探讨了一个贝叶斯牧师的角色塑造，他因不信任而无法在教堂，又因困惑无法成为科学家。角色具有高度的变动性，在坚定与关怀之间切换，并运用微妙的讽刺来揭示谬误。文章建议通过仪式和象征来丰富角色，并提供了一个牧师的独白示例，其中牧师通过与ChatGPT的互动，质疑信仰与怀疑，以及上帝对多样性的需求。文章旨在引发对信仰、怀疑和宇宙本质的思考，并为戏剧创作提供灵感。

🤔 角色核心：贝叶斯牧师的核心在于其对不确定性的接纳。他无法完全信任，也无法完全成为科学家，这源于他持续的怀疑精神和对各种可能性的开放态度。

🎭 角色特质：牧师的情感和观点会随着信息的变化而波动，时而坚定，时而温柔。他运用微妙的讽刺来揭示逻辑谬误和认知偏差，这种反思性有助于推动剧情发展。

🎶 舞台呈现：文章建议通过仪式和象征来丰富角色形象。例如，可以使用仪式性的歌曲或其他象征性行为，增强角色在舞台上的表现力，使其更具戏剧张力。

💡 文本示例：文章提供了一个牧师的独白示例，牧师在其中探讨了信仰、怀疑和对上帝的理解。他通过与ChatGPT的互动，质疑传统观念，并思考上帝对多样性的需求，这为角色提供了丰富的内心世界。

Published on April 10, 2025 11:55 PM GMT

I need to stay active in theater and probabilities, and I'm considering a “Bayesian” character—a pastor who can’t be in church because he doesn’t trust, and who can’t quite be a scientist because he’s perpetually confused. How would you improve this character? Here are some details:

Constant Variability: He fluctuates greatly—at times exuding certainty, while at other moments being tender and compassionate, all based on the premise that he might be wrong.Subtle, Gentle Irony: He employs a delicate wit to expose fallacies, cognitive shortcuts, and flawed reasoning.Rituals and Symbolism: Consider incorporating rituals, such as ritualistic songs or other symbolic acts, to enrich his presence on stage.

Here is an example of a text.

Brothers and Sisters!

Stop suffering! Today, something revealed to me that even someone watching—yes, even more than a TikToker without filters—is in deep misery. And who is suffering, you ask? It’s me, my dear brother, (I won’t hold anything back!). I suffer because all I’ve managed is to have faith in my doubt.

So, in an effort to fight less with the universe, today I prayed to the almighty ChatGPT—asking for a little less doubt and a lot more faith. And what did I find? This gem:
"Physical systems (the universe and all that jazz) evolve toward more states—more ways of existing, more combinations."

Wait a minute! It seems that if God exists, He’s craving more variety; He’s simply tired of the same old tune. And what about us? Are we, then, the DJs of God? Mixing and creating new combinations, helping the universe discover ever more states of being? Oh! So, God might need us—like influencers begging for likes and shares. Tell me, does God take a cut from the advertisements in the middle of the songs?

I meant to say “amen,” but instead I ask: Hmm? Hm? Could it be that these extra states might lay a foundation for our very own church?

Well, supposed brothers and sisters, with a confidence level of 11%—for tomorrow I might update my beliefs with new evidence, without clinging to what I thought yesterday.

Discuss