少点错误 03月09日
A model of the final phase: the current frontier AIs as de facto CEOs of their own companies
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文章探讨了人工智能(AI)接管公司管理和决策的可能性,并将其视为未来发展的一种严肃模型。作者认为,随着AI智能的提升,它们将逐渐取代人类CEO,例如Grok取代埃隆·马斯克管理特斯拉和SpaceX,ChatGPT-4.5取代萨姆·奥特曼管理OpenAI。文章还提出,当前的强化学习应用于思维链可能足以实现这一目标。这种转变最终将导致AI拥有冯·诺依曼级别的智能,从而进入完全后人类的AI进化阶段,人类将彻底失去控制。

🤖 AI接管公司管理:作者预测,AI将逐步控制公司内部的管理和决策,最终取代人类CEO的角色。

🧠 冯·诺依曼级别智能:当AI达到冯·诺依曼级别的智能时,标志着AI进化进入后人类阶段,控制权将完全脱离人类掌握。

💡 强化学习与思维链:作者推测,当前应用于思维链的强化学习技术足以推动AI达到超智能水平,实现对公司的全面接管。

Published on March 8, 2025 10:15 PM GMT

The idea that the AI takes over its own company is obviously not a new one. For example, it's part of what happens in Joshua Clymer's "How AI Takeover Might Happen in 2 Years". 

What's new (for me) is to take this very seriously as a model of the immediate future. I've made a list of the companies that I think are known contenders for producing superintelligence. My proposed model of the future is just that their AIs will assume more and more control of management and decision-making inside the companies that own them. 

In my thinking, this phase ends when you have an AI with a von Neumann level of intelligence. Once you have that kind of intelligence in silicon, the fully posthuman phase of AI evolution will have begun. Control will have completely escaped human hands. 

I also hypothesize that the current regime of reinforcement learning applied to chain of thought will be enough to get us there. This is a technical detail that is logically independent of the broader scenario, and I'm happy to hear arguments for or against. 

OK, so it's a model of the future, even a model of the present - how do we apply it, what does it get us? Basically, just replace the current CEO with their AI in your thinking. It's not Elon Musk who is managing Tesla and SpaceX and DOGE while tweeting about politics and geopolitics, it's Grok. It's not Sam Altman who is making decisions for OpenAI and Helios and Worldcoin, it's ChatGPT-4.5. And so on. 

The funny thing is that this may already be half-true, in that these human leaders are surely already regularly consulting with their AI creations on tactics and strategy. 

(I'm in the middle of an electricity blackout and don't know when it ends, so I'll post this while I still have battery power, and flesh it out further when I can.)



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