少点错误 03月05日
The Government Knows A.G.I. Is Coming
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本文回顾了拜登政府在人工智能领域的政策,并展望了未来发展。拜登政府AI顾问Ben Buchanan指出,他们为AI的未来发展奠定了基础,但未来的团队需要从国家安全、经济实力和繁荣的角度来解决AI发展带来的问题。《纽约时报》的Ezra Klein对AI政策对话的模糊性表示不满,认为现有政策对AI技术的限制很少,几乎都是自愿的。Buchanan认为,在采取政策行动之前,需要对正在做什么以及为什么有充分的理解,并强调了芯片管制的重要性,以及AI安全机构等机构的建设,为未来的AI管理奠定基础。

🏛️拜登政府在人工智能领域的工作重点是为未来的发展奠定基础,而非在其任期内解决所有问题。他们认为,AI的快速发展需要未来的团队从国家安全、经济实力和繁荣的角度来应对。

🤔《纽约时报》的Ezra Klein对当前AI政策对话的模糊性表示担忧,认为尽管AI技术具有变革性,但具体的应对措施却不明确,现有政策几乎都是自愿的,缺乏有效的约束。

🛡️芯片管制被认为是当前可以采取的有效措施,能够为未来的AI发展争取更多空间。同时,拜登政府也致力于建立AI安全机构等机构,为未来的AI管理做好准备。

Published on March 5, 2025 1:53 AM GMT

All around excellent back and forth, I thought, and a good look back at what the Biden admin was thinking about the future of AI.

an excerpt:

[Ben Buchanan, Biden AI adviser:] What we’re saying is: We were building a foundation for something that was coming that was not going to arrive during our time in office and that the next team would have to, as a matter of American national security — and, in this case, American economic strength and prosperity — address.

[Ezra Klein, NYT:] This gets to something I find frustrating in the policy conversation about A.I.

You start the conversation about how the most transformative technology — perhaps in human history — is landing in a two- to three-year time frame. And you say: Wow, that seems like a really big deal. What should we do?

That’s when things get a little hazy. Maybe we just don’t know. But what I’ve heard you kind of say a bunch of times is: Look, we have done very little to hold this technology back. Everything is voluntary. The only thing we asked was a sharing of safety data.

Now in come the accelerationists. Marc Andreessen has criticized you guys extremely straightforwardly.

Is this policy debate about anything? Is it just the sentiment of the rhetoric? If it’s so [expletive] big, but nobody can quite explain what it is we need to do or talk about — except for maybe export chip controls — are we just not thinking creatively enough? Is it just not time? Match the calm, measured tone of this conversation with our starting point.

I think there should be an intellectual humility here. Before you take a policy action, you have to have some understanding of what it is you’re doing and why.

So it is entirely intellectually consistent to look at a transformative technology, draw the lines on the graph and say that this is coming pretty soon, without having the 14-point plan of what we need to do in 2027 or 2028.

 

Chip controls are unique in that this is a robustly good thing that we could do early to buy the space I talked about before. But I also think that we tried to build institutions, like the A.I. Safety Institute, that would set the new team up, whether it was us or someone else, for success in managing the technology.

Now that it’s them, they will have to decide as the technology comes on board how we want to calibrate this under regulation.

What kinds of decisions do you think they will have to make in the next two years?

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人工智能政策 拜登政府 AI安全 芯片管制
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