Lorien Pratt 2024年11月26日
Welcome to the Personal Artificial Intelligence Revolution
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本文探讨了人工智能的发展历程,从最初的专业领域应用到如今的个人化时代。作者认为,AI正在进入第四个时代——个人AI革命,即个人通过掌控AI来提升决策能力,而非被AI控制。文章指出,当前的AI技术存在权力失衡问题,导致民主受到挑战。作者呼吁AI从业者和大众关注AI民主化,并介绍了一些关键技术,例如联邦学习、迁移学习和AutoML等,这些技术将助力个人AI革命,使每个人都能成为AI的构建者,最终实现更有效的决策和系统性变革。

🤔 **AI发展经历四个阶段:**从大型机时代到个人电脑时代,再到远程AI时代,如今正迈入个人AI革命时代,个人将重新掌控AI,而非被其控制。

🗳️ **AI技术加剧了权力失衡:**现阶段AI技术主要掌握在专业人士和大型机构手中,这导致了民主的削弱,以及收入和财富差距的扩大。

💡 **个人AI革命的关键在于赋权:**通过联邦学习、迁移学习、AutoML等技术,降低AI构建门槛,使每个人都能参与AI的构建和应用,从而提升决策效率,并推动系统性变革。

🎮 **沉浸式可视化将成为人机交互新方式:**未来,游戏化的交互方式将成为人与AI协作的重要途径,提升用户体验,促进AI的普及和应用。

🌍 **决策智能将帮助人们做出更明智的选择:**决策智能强调以结果为导向,帮助人们理解技术引入的潜在后果,从而做出更明智的决策,避免负面影响。

Like it or not, technology is everywhere. We have long ago passed a time where computers were relegated to men in white coats in distant rooms. It’s now in our pockets, in our faces, and mediates many of our relationships.

Yet, as Shoshana Zuboff explains in The Age of Surveillance Capitalism, recent years were characterized by AI and other manipulative technologies monitoring and controlling us, rather than the other way around.

As an AI professional who cares about the problems raised by AI systems, not just at the individual level but at the interface between technology and whole-systems change, I ask myself, what can be done?

Let’s start with the obvious:

Democracy is about empowering people, yet technology is increasingly disempowering us.

Would it make sense, then, to regain our agency by taking back control of AI?

Many have realized that the internet and social media created a false-or at least greatly flawed-democratization. Vyacheslav W. Polonski, writing in Newsweek, summarizes the situation:

Instead of creating a digitally-mediated agora which encourages broad discussion, the internet has increased ideological segregation. It filters dissent out of our feeds and grants a disproportionate amount of clout to the most extreme opinions due to their greater visibility and accelerated viral cycles.”

So let’s take technology democratization as seriously as other key elements of democracy like the vote. Without a rebalance of power, it’s questionable whether we can ever overcome income or wealth inequality.

If technology can only be built by specialists, it creates a disparity that can be exploited.

The good news is that we’re already on our way. AI is maturing to the point that it has left the exclusive domain of academic institutions and the more PhD-infused technology companies. A “citizen AI” will, in contrast, fundamentally change the nature of democracy by shifting this power imbalance.

We are entering a “fourth age” of computerization, as follows.

The first age: Big Iron at a distance: The IBMs and NASAs of the world built and used big computers. Only specialists could use them. The key question they answered was: what is the result of this calculation?

The second age: The PC revolution: Now, the human-computer relationship is more equitable: we all use them. And the question machines answer is: how can I be more productive?

The third age: AI at a distance: AI represents a departure from most previous software, because the brain of all AI applications is a model: a bit of smart software that simulates something going on in the outside world: how people do at their jobs, what makes them switch telecom providers, what medical tests results indicate a disease.

Again, though, the relationship is asymmetrical, the realm of specialists. The resources and knowledge to build AI systems is held within organizations, not by individuals. And a common question these machines answer is: “how can we convince a person to take a small action: to click on something, to vote for someone, to believe in something?”

The fourth age: The personal AI revolution. This age is just beginning. As before, AI systems are based on models, but now, as in the previous transition, individuals are taking back control.

New systems answer a more practical question: “how can the software help me make the decisions I want to make in a complex world more effectively?” And so we can go beyond social media conversation to AI that helps us choose the most impactful actions. This is a big deal.

And this view is radical: it is a sharp departure from extrapolations of the third phase that we see in Hollywood stories of the robot apocalypse. Many of us have settled for the inevitability of the “AI will know me and control me better and better over time” mindset. But we can do better.

To reach the fourth age we not only need to break this mindset, but to turn it upside down: we become empowered AI builders by using this technology to see how our actions lead to the outcomes we care about. And the sooner we reach this fourth age, the better we will be able to make valuable use of this advanced technology to effect change in our broken systems.

Key technology elements that will make this possible include: federated learning (which lets us use AI to learn on our own devices without sharing data), transfer learning (to tailor general-purpose models to our own needs without the need for unrealistic amounts of data) AutoML (to make AI models easy to build), the growth of an engineering discipline around AI, Decision Intelligence (to move from “answering questions” to “choosing actions that lead to outcomes”, and to map and avoid the unintended consequences of technology’s introduction), and immersive, compelling, game-like visualizations, which will be our new way of working with hand-in-hand with AI.

This is an exciting transition, but it’s not widely understood. I encourage my AI colleagues to nurture the democratization and best use of AI. And to the rest: keep your eyes out for some exciting developments in 2020 that will bring this great technology to your desktop.

This article is reprinted from  Medium.

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人工智能 个人AI 民主化 联邦学习 决策智能
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