Fortune | FORTUNE 2024年11月25日
Trump’s pick for Treasury Secretary has investors hopeful that he’ll take the sting out of ‘America First’ trade policies
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美国候任总统特朗普提名华尔街资深人士斯科特·贝森特为财长,此举引发市场积极反应。贝森特被认为是市场友好型人物,他将关税视为谈判工具而非既定结论,这缓解了市场对特朗普贸易政策的担忧。欧洲和亚洲分析师此前担心特朗普会将政治言论过度应用于实际政策,而贝森特的提名则表明特朗普可能采取更加温和的贸易政策。贝森特曾任索罗斯基金经理,其观点被认为更具市场可预测性和连贯性,市场因此出现上涨。尽管特斯拉CEO马斯克认为贝森特过于保守,但多数市场人士对贝森特的提名表示欢迎,认为其有助于稳定市场,并推动经济增长。

🤔**贝森特被认为是市场友好型人物,其提名缓解了市场对特朗普贸易政策的担忧。**贝森特将关税视为谈判工具,而非既定结论,这与特朗普此前提出的高额关税政策有所不同,市场因此预期特朗普可能采取更加温和的贸易政策。

📈**市场对贝森特的提名反应积极,股市出现上涨。**分析师认为,投资者更偏好经济政策的可预测性和连贯性,而贝森特恰恰具备这些特质,因此市场对其提名表示欢迎,例如英国富时100指数和标普500指数均出现上涨。

💼**贝森特拥有丰富的金融从业经验,曾任索罗斯基金经理,并创办了自己的对冲基金。**他毕业于耶鲁大学,并曾回到母校教授经济史,其职业生涯与华尔街和政界有着紧密的联系,这为他担任财长提供了丰富的经验和人脉。

🗣️**贝森特与特朗普在一些经济议题上存在一致观点,例如对美联储主席鲍威尔的批评。**贝森特认为,美联储在降息方面过于犹豫,并建议设立“影子”美联储主席,以在鲍威尔任期结束后接替其职位。

🇺🇸**贝森特认为特朗普的经济政策能够提振美国经济。**他在文章中指出,拜登的经济政策已经失败,而特朗普此前已经成功扭转了经济局面,并有能力再次做到这一点。

Analysts breathed a sigh of relief after President-elect Donald Trump confirmed Wall Street veteran Scott Bessent will be nominated as his Treasury Secretary.Not only does Bessent—a hedge fund manager by trade—come from the same world as Wall Street and European traders, but he’s also framed Trump’s tariffs plan as a negotiation tool rather than a foregone conclusion.This will relieve analysts in Europe and Asia who were wondering quite how far the Republican politician would bring his political rhetoric into the real world.Previously, Trump had said countries like China would face a 60% import tax, while key trading partners in Europe could face a 10% and 20% hike.Markets widely expected these nations to respond in kind, hiking up their own import rates in retaliation.But Bessent—who formerly worked for George Soros’s fund management firm—is seen as something of a safer pair of hands with the market rallying in kind. At the time of writing the UK’s FTSE100 has rallied 0.4% with the S&P500 up by a similar figure. Paul Donovan, chief economist at UBS Global Wealth Management, explained in a note on Monday morning seen by Fortune that markets had reacted positively because “investors prefer orthodoxy, predictability, and coherence from economic policy; there were fears that some of the candidates may not possess those attributes. Bessent does. “Bessent has said he regards taxing U.S. consumers via trade tariffs as a bargaining tool—essentially the stance in Trump’s first term. Others in the cabinet disagree, but investors will be pleased there is one voice of trade tax moderation.”Where does Bessent stand on tariffs? Analysts picked up such signals from Bessent after he made comments comparing tariffs to a loaded gun. Per a note published earlier this year and seen by The Wall Street Journal, Bessent reportedly wrote that the “tariff gun will always be loaded and on the table but rarely discharged.”Likewise, in an op-ed for Fox News published earlier this month, Bessent referred to tariffs as a “tool” as opposed to presenting them as a foregone conclusion, writing: “The truth is that tariffs have a long and storied history as both a revenue-raising tool and a way of protecting strategically important industries in the U.S. President-elect Trump has added a third leg to the stool: tariffs as a negotiating tool with our trading partners.”Posting on Elon Musk-owned social media site X Robin Brooks, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institute, wrote Sunday afternoon: “Consensus is that Euro bounces tonight because Bessent is market friendly. That’s a fade if it happens. “Trump needs someone who is market savvy to manage adverse market fallout (like in 2018) from tough tariffs. Bessent doesn’t make such tariffs less likely. He’s the fixer…” While the choice buoyed markets, Tesla CEO Elon Musk—and now a trusted member of Trump’s inner circle—has previously said Bessent would be too safe of an option. “Would be interesting to hear more people weigh in on this for @realDonaldTrump to consider feedback. My view fwiw is that Bessent is a business-as-usual choice, whereas @howardlutnick will actually enact change,” Musk wrote on X on November 16. “Business-as-usual is driving America bankrupt, so we need change one way or another.”Who is Scott Bessent? Bessent—per his Fox News column—still serves as CEO of New York-based Key Square Capital Management. Bessent’s resumé carries many of the hallmarks familiar to the Washington and Wall Street crowd: a Yale alum who reportedly returned to his alma mater to teach economic history. After graduating, Bessent became a hedge fund manager for Soros before launching his own firm, Key Square.Per The Wall Street Journal Bessent and his husband John Freeman, a former New York City prosecutor, have two children and have primarily lived in Charleston, South Carolina. While Bessent may be striking a more cautious tone on tariffs, he is standing firmly with Trump on topics such as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and its chairman, Jerome Powell, and the boost to markets following Trump’s election.Powell and Trump have been somewhat at loggerheads, with the former continually dismissing claims by politicians that the FOMC is a political entity.However, following the FOMC’s larger-than-expected cut in September, Bessent said, “If you were concerned about the integrity of the institution, you would not have done it.”“In reputation, everything is optics. Tell me on what planet is it conceivable that waiting two months is make or break, versus the integrity of the institution,” he told Bloomberg in October. Bessent has also floated the idea of a “shadow” FOMC chair to begin work and take over after Powell’s term is finished. The entrepreneur also loudly attributed the market’s strong post-election performance to Trump’s economic proposals. Writing in The WSJ, Bessent said: “The failure of Bidenomics is clear. But Mr. Trump has turned around the economy before, and he is ready to do so again.”How many degrees of separation are you from the globe's most powerful business leaders? Explore who made our brand-new list of the 100 Most Powerful People in Business. Plus, learn about the metrics we used to make it.

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特朗普 贝森特 财长 关税 市场反应
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