少点错误 2024年11月24日
Paradigm Shifts—change everything... except almost everything
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本文探讨了人类历史上发生的诸多范式转变,例如重力、上帝之死、细菌理论和基因等,指出这些转变虽然深刻,但其对人类日常生活的改变并不像预期的那样剧烈。这是因为,文化进化往往会在我们发现自然规律之前,就已找到与之相符的行为方式。例如,我们早在了解重力本质之前,就已经学会了如何在地球上行动。作者认为,范式转变并非摧毁旧世界,而是重新构建我们对世界的理解,揭示新的可能性,并强调人类能够将新信息融入既有认知体系,从而接受新知识而不摒弃历史经验。

🤔 **范式转变并非彻底改变世界,而是重新构建我们对世界的理解。** 例如,发现重力并没有改变我们利用肢体在地球上移动的方式,我们早已适应了重力。即使在对重力理解不完整的情况下,我们也能进行太空旅行。

🦠 **文化进化往往先于科学发现找到与自然规律相符的行为方式。** 例如,在细菌理论被广泛接受之前,人们已经通过一些实践(如隔离、使用植物治疗)来应对疾病,尽管这些实践背后的理论基础并不科学。

🧬 **基因的发现是最近一次也是最深刻的范式转变,但它对日常生活的改变并不大。** 遗传和选择性育种的概念早已存在,基因的发现只是让我们对生命有了更深入的理解。

💡 **人类有能力将新信息融入既有认知体系。** 面对范式转变,我们不必抛弃所有过去的经验教训,而是可以将新信息与既有认知框架相结合,从而更好地理解世界。

🚀 **范式转变最终会使之前不可能的事情成为可能。** 科学技术的发展使人类能够实现登月、建立普世伦理框架、挽救生命甚至编辑基因,这些成就都离不开对世界的准确认知。

Published on November 23, 2024 6:34 PM GMT

The following is a short supplement to an upcoming post on the implications for conscious significance (a framework for understanding the free will and determinism debate) but is a more general observation.

The world has undergone many paradigm shifts; where a profound truth has been revealed about the nature of the universe and our place within it. Individuals also go through their own personal paradigm shifts when they change their beliefs-which can be a frightening prospect. But I would argue it doesn’t need to be, because profound paradigm shifts seldom change as much as we expect.

This is because, if there is a significant practical benefit to behaviour in accordance with a fact about nature, cultural evolution will often find this behaviour before we discover the fact. A few examples without leaving the letter ‘ G’:

Gravity

Discovering gravity did not inform us about how we could move around by applying pressure with our limbs to the large gravitational body upon which we’re hurtling through space. We’d already worked out how to react to gravity without knowing exactly what it was (in fact, we still don’t know exactly what it is). It’s even feasible that we could have learned to fly while still maintaining a flat-earth perspective, and even with our incomplete understanding of gravity today, we are capable of space travel.

God is Dead

The 19th Century saw an increase in scientific discoveries such as Darwin’s theory of Evolution as well as increasingly secular forms of government born out of the Enlightenment. The associated atrophy of religious belief during this period in western philosophy was encapsulated in Nietzsche’s phrase

“God is dead, God remains dead, and we have killed him”

… leading philosophers to grapple with Dostoevsky’s assertion that…

“If God is dead, all is permitted.”

Both Dostoevsky and Nietzsche independently assumed that God’s death leaves a moral vacuum.

In reality, a materialist worldview demands similar interpersonal ethics as a religious one. So, when belief declined, moral behaviour persisted, not by divine coincidence, but because many religious morals had differentially survived, primarily due to their facility for social cohesion.

Germs

From a modern perspective, the germ theory of disease seems a perfect counter-example of a profound truth that made a tremendous difference to everyday people; the imperative to wash one’s hands has itself saved billions of lives. However, even this theory, a version of which was proposed by Girolamo Fracastoro in 1546, failed to make a splash, partly because pseudoscientific theories had lucked upon some practices that were effective. The prevailing Miasma (or “Bad Air”) Theory at the time, at least, warned people away from rotting food and flesh, despite having no sound scientific explanation for why they should.

Even the paradigm of spiritual possession and witchcraft had developed some practices that informed behaviour consistent with the germ theory; the idea of quarantine, animistic gods providing treatment via plant leaves and concepts of impurity. This does not mean to say there was any merit to these beliefs, they are better viewed as rationalisations to justify practices born of utility. But over time, practices evolved such that germaphobic tendencies were in full swing before the likes of Louis Pasteur lead to the Germ Theory of Disease being fully accepted in the late 19th Century.

Genes

Genes are a recent paradigm shift, and the most profound. The discovery of DNA and the genetic code has revolutionised our understanding of life itself. But even this discovery has not changed as much as we might expect. The idea of heredity was already well established, and the idea of selective breeding was already in practice. And how much does the fact that you’re made of genes change your day-to-day life? Not much, unless you’re a geneticist.

But…

Over time, paradigm shifts do change everything, in a sense that they make what was previously impossible possible. Science and technology have enabled us to fly to the moon, build universal ethical frameworks, save lives and even edit genes-feats that would not have been possible without gaining an accurate picture of the world. But the discoveries that enabled these feats were not bolts from the blue, before we knew about them, we had already developed practices that were consistent with them. Importantly the anticipated consequences of these profound discoveries didn’t eventuate, and the feats they enabled did not arrive immediately, but required a continued process of cultural evolution to reveal their utility.

So…

The lesson I take from this is not to be afraid of paradigm shifts, and to recognise that new ideas don’t destroy the world to make it anew, but rather they reframe our understanding of the world to reveal new possibilities. Humans have a (often maligned) capacity to rationalise their behaviour, to understand new information in terms of information they already have, sometimes with bizarre results. However I believe this capacity is applicable in the case of paradigm shifts, enabling us accept new information without abandoning all the hard-won lessons of our personal and civilisational history. This approach is key to understanding the implications of ‘conscious significance’.

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Originally published at https://nonzerosum.games.



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范式转变 文化进化 科学发现 认知框架 人类认知
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