Fortune | FORTUNE 2024年11月21日
Angela Merkel, once celebrated as one of the world’s most popular politicians, now faces growing scrutiny over her legacy
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默克尔即将出版回忆录之际,其政治遗产引发争议。在任期间,默克尔以稳定著称,但批评者认为这导致德国改革停滞,尤其在经济和外交政策方面。德国经济在默克尔卸任后陷入困境,基础设施老化,对美国、中国和俄罗斯的依赖加剧。默克尔的一些决策,如支持北溪2号项目和开放边境接纳难民,也引发争议。尽管这些决策反映了当时德国社会主流意见,但也助长了极右翼势力的崛起。默克尔的继任者们正试图摆脱其政策的束缚,但同时也面临着来自其保守派支持者的压力。

🤔 **默克尔执政期间,德国经济和社会保持稳定,但改革步伐缓慢,导致基础设施老化,经济增长乏力。** 在默克尔卸任后,德国经济面临着诸多挑战,包括经济萎缩、基础设施落后等问题,这与默克尔执政期间缺乏必要的改革措施有关。

🌍 **默克尔在外交政策方面,德国对美国、中国和俄罗斯的依赖加剧,尤其是在能源领域。** 默克尔政府支持北溪2号项目,加剧了德国对俄罗斯能源的依赖,而忽视了由此带来的地缘政治风险。同时,德国在经济上过度依赖中国和美国,导致其国际地位和话语权下降。

🧑‍⚖️ **默克尔的一些关键决策,如开放边境接纳难民和逐步淘汰核电,反映了当时德国社会主流意见,但也引发了争议。** 2015年,默克尔决定开放边境接纳大量难民,这一决策虽然体现了人道主义精神,但也加剧了德国社会的分裂,并助长了极右翼政党的崛起。

🗳️ **默克尔的继任者们面临着改革德国经济和社会,以及平衡各方利益的挑战。** 默克尔政府的政策在一定程度上限制了德国的改革步伐,默克尔的继任者们需要在改革和稳定之间找到平衡点,同时还要应对来自各方利益集团的压力。

🇩🇪 **默克尔执政期间的“默克尔式”决策风格,即尽可能推迟决策,也引发了批评。** 这种决策风格虽然在一定程度上维护了稳定,但也导致一些问题长期得不到解决,最终影响了德国的长期发展。

Former German chancellor Angela Merkel was still one of the world’s most popular politicians when she retired in 2021, but critics are increasingly questioning her legacy ahead of the release of her memoirs.“Freedom”, co-written by Merkel and her longtime political adviser Beate Baumann, will be published in 30 languages on Tuesday just as Germany grapples with a deep political crisis ahead of snap elections in February.The contents of the 736-page book have been a closely guarded secret but are expected to shed new light on the four terms in office between 2005 and 2021 during which she was the world’s most powerful woman.But with Europe’s biggest economy in disarray since she left office, critics have already rounded on Merkel ahead of the publication date.In a book titled “The Illusion”, Eckart Lohse, a journalist for the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung newspaper, said Merkel, 70, had “left behind a country full of unfinished business”.In another stinging analysis, The Economist recently commented that “16 years of no reforms are taking a toll on Germany and Europe”.Comments like these show how much public opinion has turned on Merkel since 2021, when her image was still “very positive overall”, researcher Marie Krpata, an expert on German politics, told AFP.In an interview with the Tagesspiegel newspaper, political scientist Wolfgang Schroeder said two major things have shifted the landscape in Germany since Merkel retired: the war in Ukraine and “the collapse of the export-oriented economic model”.Dilapidated infrastructureAs a result, Germany, long a driver of European growth, was the world’s only major advanced economy to shrink in 2023 and is expected to contract again this year, by 0.2 percent.Germany is also increasingly suffering from “dilapidated infrastructure… in the transport sector, such as railways, but also in the digital sector, schools and kindergartens”, Krpata said.While the Merkel era was marked by stability — much prized among German voters — according to her critics this often turned into stasis.It’s not for nothing that Merkel inadvertently coined the term “merkeln” — to put off a decision for as long as possible.On foreign policy, The Economist said Merkel had “left the country with a now-famous trifecta of dangerous dependencies: unable to defend itself without America, struggling to grow without exporting to China, relying on Russian gas to keep its industry going”.Specifically, Merkel’s government backed the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline even after Russia annexed Crimea in 2014, a decision now widely regarded as a mistake in light of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.‘What the majority expected’But this decision was “in line with the expectations of the German business community, which were strongly expressed at the time”, Norbert Lammert, a former lawmaker for Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party, told AFP.Public opinion was also an important factor in other controversial decisions made by Merkel, Lammert said — such as weaning Germany off nuclear energy after the Fukushima disaster in 2011.It was also the main driver behind her decision to leave Germany’s doors open to hundreds of thousands of migrants in 2015.Merkel always “did pretty much exactly what the majority expected of her”, Lammert said.The huge influx of migrants in 2015 helped fuel the rise of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD), which entered parliament for the first time two years later.The AfD is now polling in second place ahead of February’s snap election, behind only Merkel’s conservatives under their new leader Friedrich Merz.The government of Social Democrat Chancellor Olaf Scholz, once a minister in Merkel’s cabinet, has extended border controls and curbed benefits offered to asylum seekers.Merz meanwhile has pledged to reform Germany’s constitutionally enshrined “debt brake”, fiercely defended by Merkel during her time in power.But Merz “would risk losing the loyalty and approval of a large part of his own party if he wanted to distance himself” from Merkel, according to Lammert.

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默克尔 德国政治 政治遗产 经济改革 外交政策
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