Fortune | FORTUNE 2024年11月08日
Trump’s victory reveals secret Republicans: Joe Rogan-obsessed Gen Z men
index_new5.html
../../../zaker_core/zaker_tpl_static/wap/tpl_guoji1.html

 

美国中期选举中,年轻一代的投票倾向出现了一些意外变化。尽管此前预测哈里斯会赢得年轻选民的支持,但最终特朗普在30岁以下男性选民中胜出,并缩小了在年轻女性选民中的差距。这与年轻人对经济现状的不满以及对现任政府的失望情绪有关。此外,部分年轻人可能出于各种原因隐瞒了自己的投票意向,导致民调结果与实际投票结果存在差异。特朗普通过社交媒体平台与年轻选民互动,并试图塑造更温和的形象,也一定程度上影响了年轻选民的投票选择。

🤔 30岁以下男性选民中,特朗普以微弱优势战胜哈里斯,与上次大选拜登在该群体中领先11%形成鲜明对比。

👩‍💼年轻女性选民方面,哈里斯的领先优势也从拜登时期的35个百分点缩减至24个百分点,特朗普获得了更多支持。

🤫 近半数Z世代和三分之一的千禧一代表示在本次选举中向亲近的人隐瞒了自己的投票意向,这可能导致民调结果与实际投票结果存在偏差。

💰 经济疲软和通货膨胀导致许多年轻人对当前经济状况感到悲观,他们寻求改变,特朗普抓住了这一机会。

🗣️ 特朗普通过社交媒体平台如Joe Rogan的播客与年轻选民互动,并试图塑造更温和的形象,吸引了部分年轻选民的支持。

Last election, President Joe Biden beat Trump by 11% among men aged under 30. This time around, Trump edged out Harris by 2 points, per NBC News exit polling. Trump also carries more favor when it comes to young women, as Biden’s 35-point lead shifted to only 24 points for Harris.Gen Z leaning Trump wasn’t anticipated, despite young men’s turn to conservatism being well-documented. Young registered voters reported to favor Harris (53%) over Trump (33%) respectively, according to a poll from Harvard Kennedy School of more than 2,000 undergraduate students. Her lead diminished to 9 points in key swing states.On Election Day, a different reality for young voters emerged. Some Gen Zers likely fibbed about their voteDuring a divisive election, it appears as if some voters held their cards close to their chests. Almost a quarter (23%) of Americans reportedly lied to someone close to them about who they were voting for, according to an Axios poll of more 1,800 registered voters, conducted by the Harris Poll. The younger generations were most likely to lie, at 48% of Gen Zers and 38% of millennials compared to just 17% of Gen Xers and 6% of baby boomers. And men were more likely to lie than women, at 30% and 17%, respectively.While it was unclear from the poll who they were lying to, it now appears that some Gen Z men backed Trump in silence. Perhaps people are fibbing so much because their generation is splintered. Men in the U.S., Germany, and South Korea are tilting increasingly conservative, according to Gallup data as covered by the Financial Times. In the same countries, women are leaning more liberal. Trump met some young men where they were at, speaking on Joe Rogan’s podcast and snagging endorsements from YouTubers like Jake Paul and other influencers who curry favor with his intended audience. “What [Trump] is doing is sitting down and doing a podcast with some podcaster, and that’s where he has made gains in this election,” Dan Pfeiffer, former senior adviser to President Barack Obama, told Fortune’s Jane Thier.Trump also attempted to soften his image on these shows. “They think of Trump as an anti-hero and not a villain. … I think it’s less about policy and much more about personality,” John Della Volpe, director of polling at the Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics, told Axios.Trump capitalized on disillusionment and economic fatigueYoung people across political leanings are disillusioned with their leaders. Gen Zers want politicians to become more involved in critical issues, like climate change, economic inequality, and democracy’s future. And they report feeling fatalistic about the government’s failure to do so, per two studies from UC Berkeley researchers.It’s a given that the incumbent party often struggles to win, when so many people feel unsatisfied with the current reality. But Trump was able to capitalize on the working-class vote this cycle. Most voters felt pessimistic about the economy under Biden and Harris, with 64% rating it “not good” or “poor,” according to exit polls. Increasingly burdened by the cost of housing and groceries, voters sought an alternative to the current administration. “It should come as no great surprise that a Democratic Party which has abandoned working-class people would find that the working class has abandoned them,” Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., who campaigned for Harris, wrote. “While the Democratic leadership defends the status quo, the American people are angry and want change. And they’re right.”And younger generations that often report feeling especially left behind, as they struggle to afford life milestones like buying a house while dealing with a volatile economy and student loans. While many economists spoke out in favor of Harris’ economic plan as better for the nation, some Gen Zers appeared to be so disillusioned with the state of affairs that Trump’s courtship started to work.A newsletter for the boldest, brightest leaders: CEO Daily is your weekday morning dossier on the news, trends, and chatter business leaders need to know. Sign up here.

Fish AI Reader

Fish AI Reader

AI辅助创作,多种专业模板,深度分析,高质量内容生成。从观点提取到深度思考,FishAI为您提供全方位的创作支持。新版本引入自定义参数,让您的创作更加个性化和精准。

FishAI

FishAI

鱼阅,AI 时代的下一个智能信息助手,助你摆脱信息焦虑

联系邮箱 441953276@qq.com

相关标签

中期选举 年轻选民 特朗普 经济 民调
相关文章