Fortune | FORTUNE 2024年11月05日
Berkshire Hathaway is dumping Apple stock and building its cash stockpile to record highs because Warren Buffett believes the government will raise capital gains taxes soon
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巴菲特领导的伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司持续减持苹果股票,导致其现金储备达到创纪录的3252亿美元。过去一年多,伯克希尔已出售了超过三分之二的苹果股票,尽管苹果仍是其最大投资。巴菲特预计未来几年资本利得税率可能会上升,因此希望持有更多现金。此外,伯克希尔在过去8个季度中一直是股票的净卖方,其现金和短期国债的价值已超过其股票投资的市值。尽管如此,伯克希尔过去三年的股价表现仍然优于标普500指数。

🍎巴菲特持续减持苹果股票,过去一年多已出售超过三分之二的持股,目前苹果仍是伯克希尔的最大投资,但持股比例已大幅下降。

💰伯克希尔现金储备达到历史新高3252亿美元,超过了其股票投资的市值,这与巴菲特预计未来资本利得税率可能上升,希望持有更多现金有关。

📉伯克希尔在过去8个季度一直是股票的净卖方,在今年第三季度仅购买了15亿美元的股票,表明其对当前股票市场的谨慎态度。

📈尽管减持股票,伯克希尔过去三年的股价表现仍然强劲,上涨了52%,跑赢了标普500指数的22%。

🤔巴菲特表示,在当前全球经济环境下,持有更多现金是更具吸引力的选择。

Berkshire Hathaway’s cash reserves are at an all-time high of $325.2 billion as Warren Buffett quickly exits what has been one of his most profitable trades of the past decade.The Oracle of Omaha and his conglomerate holding company Berkshire started to offload shares of Apple late last year, paring down a major bet on the tech company that it opened in 2016. Berkshire picked up its selling pace earlier this year and by the end of the second quarter, it had halved its stake in Apple, the Financial Times reported, helping to bring its cash reserve to an all-time-high of $277 billion at the time. But by the end of the third quarter, Berkshire Hathaway smashed its previous cash record by selling another quarter of its stake in the tech company, or 100 million shares, bringing its total shares to 300 million, down from 400 million.In just over a year, the company has sold more than two-thirds of its stake in Apple. Although the tech company is still its top holding at $69.9 billion worth of shares, at its peak, Apple made up $178 billion worth of Berkshire Hathaway’s portfolio.The Apple-selling frenzy comes as Buffett has pared down his equity holdings across the board over the past two years. In the third quarter, Berkshire bought just $1.5 billion worth of stocks, making it a net seller of equities for the eighth consecutive quarter, CNN reported.Berkshire’s $325.2 billion in cash and short-term treasuries now outweigh the market value of its equities, which stood at $271.6 billion as of the end of the third quarter, according to its most recent earnings report. While some have questioned Berkshire’s big stock sales, over the last three years the company has done just fine, with its shares rising 52%, outpacing the S&P 500’s 22% increase over the same period. Part of the reason for the massive equity sale lies in Buffett’s prediction that the capital-gains tax rate will increase over the next several years, possibly to help pay down the federal deficit, which stood at about 122% of the country’s GDP as of 2023.“I would say with present fiscal policies I think that something has to give and I think that higher taxes are quite likely,” Buffett said during Berkshire’s annual shareholder meeting in May.Vice President Kamala Harris has said that if elected president, she would raise the corporate tax rate from 21% to 28%. Meanwhile, former President Donald Trump has vowed to cut the corporate tax rate to 15% for companies that produce products in the U.S.While Buffett said Berkshire Hathaway would retain Apple as its largest investment, he added that he wanted to keep more cash on hand.“But I don’t mind at all, under current conditions, building the cash position,” Buffett said in May. “I think when I look at the alternative of what’s available in the equity markets and I look at the composition of what’s going on in the world, we find it quite attractive.”While Buffett said at the May meeting that the capital-gains tax rate, which is paid by investors when they sell an asset like stocks, is likely to rise, he is ultimately not concerned.“We always hope at Berkshire to pay substantial federal income taxes, we think it's appropriate,” he said.Upcoming event: Join business's brightest minds and boldest leaders at the Fortune Global Forum, convening November 11 and 12 in New York City. Thought-provoking sessions and off-the-record discussions feature Fortune 500 CEOs, former Cabinet members and global Ambassadors, and 7x world champion Tom Brady–among many others.

See the full agenda here, or request your invitation.

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巴菲特 伯克希尔 苹果 现金储备 资本利得税
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