Fortune | FORTUNE 2024年10月31日
Elon Musk says there’s a 10% to 20% chance that AI ‘goes bad,’ even while he raises billions for his own startup xAI
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马斯克虽认为AI有风险,但仍为自己的AI公司筹集资金。他在峰会上强调AI的风险,预测其发展,并提及自己公司的相关情况以及对未来的一些预测。

🎤马斯克在沙特阿拉伯的峰会上对人工智能的风险发出警报,称其虽可能带来巨大好处,但存在10%到20%的不良风险,且若技术呈指数增长,风险会提高。

💰马斯克的xAI公司正洽谈新一轮融资,此前已筹集60亿美元。该公司创建的Grok AI聊天机器人为X premium会员提供服务。

👀马斯克曾助力创建OpenAI,后因意见分歧离开并欲在特斯拉内建立竞争AI公司。OpenAI今年获高估值融资。

🤖马斯克预测到2040年,人形机器人数量将超过人类,且每个国家都将有AI。他还提到特斯拉的Optimus机器人情况。

Elon Musk is raising billions of dollars for his own supercharged AI, even though he says there’s still a pretty good chance the technology backfires.During an interview at Saudi Arabia’s Future Investment Initiative summit in Riyadh, Musk sounded the alarm on the risks of artificial intelligence.“It’s most likely going to be great,” he said. “There’s this sub chance, that could be 10% to 20%, that it goes bad. The chances aren’t zero that it goes bad.”The risk of a rogue AI could be heightened if the technology grows exponentially as Musk expects it to. He said during the summit that AI is going to get 10 times better this year, and, in another of his lofty forecasts, predicted that AI would be able to do anything that a human can do within the next year or two. “How much longer than that does it take to do what all humans can do combined? Not long, probably three years from that point,” he added.Musk’s forecast about the size and danger of AI comes as his company xAI is reportedly in talks to raise a new funding round that would value it at about $40 billion, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter. The company, which created the Grok AI chatbot that X premium members receive if they pay for a subscription, already raised $6 billion earlier this year at a $24 billion valuation. Musk famously helped launch ChatGPT maker OpenAI in 2015, but left just three years later over differences in opinion with the other cofounders—and because he said he wanted to build a competing AI company within Tesla, according to OpenAI. OpenAI is now one of the most valuable private companies in the world after it raised $6.6 billion at a $157 billion valuation earlier this year.Among his other predictions, Musk also said during the summit that by 2040, humanoid robots will outnumber people on earth, and that every country will have “AIs or multiple AIs.” Tesla revealed the latest version of its Optimus bot earlier this month, although it is still not fully run by AI and requires humans to operate it.Musk, by his own account, is “pathologically optimistic,” and in the past has shrugged off questions about not meeting the ambitious timelines he sets for his EV company Tesla.Still, he hasn’t been shy in the past about pointing out AI’s potential risks. In May, Musk responded to a Breitbart article on X quoting Nobel Prize winner Geoffrey Hinton’s warnings about the dangers of AI. And he reiterated his warning about AI during the summit this week. “I think AI is a significant existential threat and something we should be paying close attention to,” he said.Recommended newsletter Data Sheet: Stay on top of the business of tech with thoughtful analysis on the industry's biggest names. Sign up here.

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