Fortune | FORTUNE 2024年10月21日
Should you buy Nvidia stock now? It may be a once-in-a-generation opportunity
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英伟达股价飙升,成为市值高达3万亿美元的公司。其走势存在分歧,有人质疑能否持续上涨,也有人看好AI热潮带来的利好。美国银行分析师重申买入评级并提高目标价,认为其是代际机会,市场需求大。同时,英伟达CEO称下一代AI芯片需求旺盛,该公司的企业合作及软件产品也强化了其在硬件方面的优势,还可能在未来两年产生大量自由现金流。本月晚些时候的科技巨头财报将提供更多需求信息。

🦾英伟达股价飙升,市值达3万亿美元,其股票走势引发争议,华尔街看法不一。

💡美国银行分析师看好英伟达,重申买入评级并提高目标价,称其为代际机会,预估AI加速器市场规模超4000亿美元。

🚀英伟达CEO称下一代AI芯片需求旺盛,公司的企业合作及软件产品强化其硬件优势,还可能在未来两年产生超2000亿美元自由现金流。

📈本月晚些时候科技巨头的财报将为AI需求提供更多见解,英伟达也将于11月20日发布财报。

At one point this year, the stock accounted for more than a third of the S&P 500’s gains, and some investors even held watch parties for Nvidia’s earnings release. Nvidia’s astronomical run to a $3 trillion company has also been somewhat divisive as many on Wall Street have doubted that the stock can sustain further gains while others see the AI boom fueling more upside. That’s left investors asking, “should I buy Nvidia stock right now, or sell it?”Analysts at Bank of America have an answer: In a note on Thursday, they reiterated their buy rating on Nvidia stock and raised their price target to $190 from $165, implying it could soar 38% higher from Friday’s closing price.At $190 a share, Nvidia’s market cap would also explode to $4.7 trillion from $3.4 trillion today.In fact, BofA is so bullish on Nvidia stock that analysts called it a “generational opportunity,” estimating a total addressable market of more than $400 billion for AI accelerators. “AI models (demand) continue to evolve, with the cadence of new LLM model launches now increased to 3-5 times/yr per developer (OpenAI, Google, Meta, etc.), and each new major generation requiring 10-20x compute requirement to train,” analysts said.Their confidence in Nvidia has been boosted by others in the chip sector like Taiwan Semiconductor and ASML, which both recently signaled strong AI demand. BofA’s meetings with executives at Broadcom and Micron as well as comments from AMD have yielded similar indications. Meanwhile, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang also touted huge demand for the company’s next-generation AI chip.“Blackwell is in full production, Blackwell is as planned, and the demand for Blackwell is insane,” he told CNBC earlier this month. “Everybody wants to have the most, and everybody wants to be first.”Adding to BofA’s bullish case for Nvidia is its underappreciated enterprise partnerships with the likes of Accenture, ServiceNow, Microsoft, and others as well as its software products that help reinforce Nvidia’s dominance in hardware. They combine to create a deeper overall Nvidia ecosystem for AI.Plus, Nvidia could generate more than $200 billion in free cash flow over the next two years, rivaling even Apple, BofA estimated.Earnings reports later this month from tech giants that are developing AI technologies, such as Microsoft, Google, and Amazon, should provide more insight into demand. And Nvidia is due to report Nov. 20.While some on Wall Street have expressed skepticism on whether massive investments in AI are translating to the bottom line, the tech sector is locked in a cutthroat race to be first on the scene with the latest advances in AI.“We continue to see the pace of new model development increase,” BofA said. “LLMs in particular are being developed for both larger size and better reasoning capabilities, which both require greater training intensity.”

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