Fortune | FORTUNE 2024年10月10日
UBS ‘quantimental’ framework identifies a surprise U.S. company as its highest ranking stock
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瑞士银行UBS发布的最新报告《主题计量器》显示,美国成长型公司表现强劲。报告基于该银行的“量化选股框架”对20家排名最高的公司和20家排名最低的公司进行了排名,该框架将公司表现分为四个类别:宏观经济环境(R)、盈利运营环境(E)、市场估值评估(V)和情绪(S)。报告显示,排名前七位的公司中,有六家来自美国,其中包括网络安全公司Fortinet,该公司自新冠疫情导致居家办公人数激增以来,增长迅速。过去一年,该公司股价上涨了34.25%,至79.89美元。只有总部位于马德里的电力公司Endesa在UBS的欧盟上市欧元区敞口主题中排名高于其他六家美国公司。

🚀 **美国成长型公司表现强劲**:UBS报告《主题计量器》显示,美国成长型公司在该银行的“量化选股框架”中排名靠前,该框架将公司表现分为宏观经济环境、盈利运营环境、市场估值评估和情绪四个类别。

📈 **Fortinet领跑**:网络安全公司Fortinet自新冠疫情以来增长迅速,其股价在过去一年上涨了34.25%,至79.89美元,成为排名最高的美国公司之一。

📊 **量化选股框架**:UBS的“量化选股框架”为公司提供了一个加权评分,其中宏观经济环境占30%,盈利占30%,估值占15%,情绪占25%。

💡 **其他表现出色的主题**:除了美国成长型公司外,UBS报告还显示,欧盟上市欧元区敞口、GLP-1 赢家(追踪奥森康等公司的胰高血糖素样肽行业)和欧盟可再生能源等主题也表现出色。

📉 **表现最差的主题**:表现最差的主题包括欧洲价值股(例如BP)、上市中国敞口(例如欧莱雅)和美国低收入消费者(例如怪兽饮料、Autozone和Dollar General)。

United States growth companies are killing it, according to a report published today by Zurich-based UBS. Titled ‘Theme-ometer,’ the report includes a list of 20 companies that rank highest and 20 ranked lowest, based on the bank’s proprietary “quantimental stock selection framework” that breaks down company performance into four categories: the macro economic regime (R), the operating environment for earnings (E), the market assessment of valuations (V), and by sentiment (S).That’s REVS for short.Six of the top seven highest ranked companies to make the UBS list are from the U.S. They include Fortinet, a 24-year-old cybersecurity company that has grown explosively since Covid caused the work-from-home population to balloon. Its stock price grew by 34.25% over the past year alone, to $79.89 today. Only Madrid-based Endesa, an electric company in UBS’s EU Listed Eurozone Exposure theme out-ranked the other six U.S. companies.Of note, as with most bank research, UBS “does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports,” so as always, a degree of caution is necessary when interpreting the results.  “The US Growth theme is among the highest ranking in our REVS framework,” wrote lead author, and UBS U.S. strategist, Sean Simonds, and the rest his team. Other U.S. Growth leaders were Meta, Docusign, Monday.com, Uber and Cardinal Health.The quantimental stock selection framework gives companies a weighted score, with 30% based on the macro economic regime (or the larger economic context), 30% going to earnings, 15% going to valuations and 25% going to sentiment, according to Simonds in an email to Fortune.Sunnyvale, California-based Fortinet scored a 0.63 out of a perfect score of one. Endesa, the Madrid based utility, came in second with a score of 0.61.Founded by brothers Ken and Michael Xie in 2000, Fortinet was a slow grower for its first 20 years, climbing to $23.62 as of November 2020. That month, as Covid quarantine forced clients to stay home, the stock started a year of nearly non-stop growth, hitting $69 in December 2021. In August, Fortinet bought artificial intelligence cloud security firm Lacework for an undisclosed amount, and is currently valued at $61.4 billion.Other themes ranked highly by UBS were EU Listed Eurozone Exposure, GLP-1 Winner (tracking the industry around the Glucagon-like peptides in Ozempic), and EU Renewables. The worst performing themes included European Value stocks such as BP, Listed China Exposure, including L’Oreal, and U.S. Low Income Consumer, including Monster Beverage, Autozone, and Dollar General, all of which “are among the lowest scoring stocks in these themes,” according to the report..https://www.darkreading.com/cloud-security/fortinet-customer-data-breach-third-party

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美国成长型公司 UBS 量化选股框架 Fortinet 网络安全
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